Ceasefire odds plummet amid ongoing US-Iran tensions and military escalation: FT
Israel intercepts most missiles, but Iran continues its aggression. Ceasefire by April 7 is at 1.8% YES, down from 8%...
Month: April 2026
Trump weighs sending US special forces to Iran as April 30 odds rise to 66%
Trump is considering deploying US special forces to Iran to seize uranium stockpiles, reports Al Jazeera. The odds of US...
Trump weighs sending US special forces to seize Iran’s uranium stockpiles
Trump is weighing the option of sending US special forces to seize Iran’s uranium stockpiles. The odds for US forces...
Iran reveals Gulf bridge targets as US-Iran ceasefire odds plummet to 2%
Iran has released a list of Gulf bridge targets following coalition strikes on the B1 Bridge in Karaj. The odds...
Iran lists Gulf bridge targets after coalition strike, US ceasefire odds plummet
Iran has released a list of Gulf bridge targets following a coalition strike on the B1 Bridge in Karaj. The...
US forces’ odds of entering Iran by April 30 rise to 66% after Isfahan strike
U.S. and Israeli forces targeted Isfahan, Iran, while the USS Gerald R. Ford returned to the Middle East. The odds...
US forces’ odds of entering Iran by April 30 rise to 65.5% amid military buildup
US and Israeli forces have targeted Isfahan, Iran, while the USS Gerald R. Ford returns to the Middle East, boosting...
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Explosions near Revolutionary Guard base raise odds of regime fall to 14% by June 30
Explosions occurred near a Revolutionary Guard base in southwestern Iran, pushing the odds of the Iranian regime falling by June...
Trump’s efforts to end Iran conflict see ceasefire odds drop to 23.5% by April 30
President Trump is working to end the conflict with Iran and stop nuclear weapons development. The odds of a US-Iran...
Ceasefire odds drop to 2% as US-Iran tensions escalate
The U.S. strike on an Iranian bridge and Iran’s threat against major tech companies have slashed the odds of a...
US strike on Iranian bridge signals military escalation, ceasefire odds plummet
The US strike on an Iranian bridge aimed at halting weapons movement signals a military escalation. Ceasefire by April 7...
7M Iranians volunteer to fight as US invasion odds rise to 65.5% by April 30
Iran’s army commander, Major General Abdolrahim Hatami, announced that 7 million Iranians have volunteered to fight against a potential ground...
