Bitcoin jumps $1K on Binance amid US-Iran conflict tensions
Bitcoin shot up over $1,000 within a minute on Binance amid the U.S.-Iran conflict. The April Bitcoin price market reflects...
Month: April 2026
China-backed ceasefire stabilizes Iran amid regime change speculation
The odds for an Iranian regime fall by June 30 sit at 8.5%, slightly up from 8% yesterday, as Washington...
Keir Starmer vows to lead Labour despite Mandelson scandal pressure
Keir Starmer has publicly committed to leading Labour into the next general election, and the market on whether he leaves...
Iran says Strait of Hormuz will not return to previous state amid US distrust
Iran says the Strait of Hormuz will not return to its previous state, citing distrust with the US. The Polymarket...
Trump warns Iran of potential oil shut-ins within three days
Trump suggested Iran faces potential oil shut-ins within three days. Trump’s agreement to Iranian oil sanction relief in April is...
Two-thirds of Israelis dissatisfied with Netanyahu’s leadership, survey shows
A new survey shows two-thirds of Israelis are dissatisfied with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s leadership. On Polymarket, the odds of...
Iran proposes new formula to revive talks with US
Al Mayadeen reports that Iranian officials propose a new formula to revive talks with Washington. The market for a US-Iran...
Third assassination attempt on Trump during White House Correspondents’ Dinner
A third assassination attempt on Donald Trump reportedly occurred during the White House Correspondents’ Dinner. The market for Trump winning...
Iran-US peace talks collapse, crude oil market remains steady
Iran-US peace talks in Islamabad broke down, drawing attention to crude oil markets. The Polymarket contract for WTI Crude Oil...
Iran cites energy leverage as US-Iran peace deal odds drop
Iran’s parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf suggested Tehran retains leverage against the US, citing “energy and shipping cards.” The US-Iran...
IRGC Quds Force chief vows support for Hezbollah amid Israel ceasefire
The IRGC Quds Force chief promised continued support for Hezbollah, though the Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30 market sits at...
Trump warns Middle East conflict could destabilize markets
Trump warned against escalating Middle East conflict, citing market instability. The Polymarket contract for crude oil reaching an all-time high...
Nvidia’s market cap dominance odds steady despite US-Iran tensions, tariffs
Five of the Magnificent 7 tech giants report earnings this week during a period of U.S.-Iran tensions and a 15%...
Tillis backs Warsh for Fed Chair, removing key obstacle ahead of committee vote
Senator Thom Tillis has reversed his opposition and now supports Kevin Warsh’s confirmation as Federal Reserve Chair. The May 15...
Trump’s demand for US control of Iran’s nuclear material stalls deal prospects
Trump’s push for US control of Iran’s nuclear material has collapsed market odds. The US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30...
