Bitcoin’s Bear Market Might Not Be New: Data Points To A 2-Month Slide

According to CryptoQuant’s head of research Julio

Bitcoin’s Bear Market Might Not Be New: Data Points To A 2-Month Slide

Bitcoin’s Bear Market Might Not Be New: Data Points To A 2-Month Slide

According to CryptoQuant’s head of research Julio Moreno, Bitcoin

BTCUSD now trading at $89,043. Chart: TradingView

Outlook Hinges On Macro And Regulation

Some analysts still predict 2026 could bring fresh highs, citing expected US rate cuts and a friendlier policy stance in Washington. At the same time, observers are watching whether Bitcoin’s tighter link to US stocks holds as macro and regulatory decisions land.

If the correlation weakens, crypto may chart its own course. If it stays strong, the path for Bitcoin could be shaped largely by broader market moves rather than crypto-specific flows.

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What Traders Will Watch

Based on reports and Moreno’s view, the key items to monitor are the one-year moving average, realized price levels near $56,000–$60,000, the outcome of options expiries, and whether institutional buyers continue steady purchases.

Price action has been calmer than some past crises, but that calm has masked real downside risk. Analysts and traders are split; some expect a return to growth next year, while others are preparing for lower prices before any sustained recovery.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

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