Bitcoin Price Mirrors 2021 Structure as 30-Month Cycle Points to 2028

The Bitcoin price is hovering in a range of $60K to $70K and quietly sketching a structure that feels eerily familiar. If this is a bullish divergence phase like the one after the 2021 crash, then the current Bitcoin price prediction might frustrate impatient bulls more than outright bears ever did.

Second Peak, Weaker Momentum

Lets have a look at follow up momentum after each primary bullish rallies. In march 2021 the primary rally marked first top and October 2021 showed a follow up momentum that delivered the second top. It looked strong. It felt bullish.

But momentum was already weaker than the first peak. Then came those slow, grinding weeks of red candles.

Now if we look at October 2025. Then its second top again and like previous history the next RSI divergence seems like an option.

Since, history doesn’t replay perfectly. Still, it tends to rhyme and this one feels almost scripted only if $60K isn’t lost.

The Boring Base Phase

Similar to 2022 exhaustion phase where momentum was range bound which is often called boring phase.

Now this phase in 2026 seems like a possibility. As weekly RSI is hovering near zones that previously marked exhaustion again.

But this is boring phase that tests investors patience and filters out weak hands. So it isnt this easy to look at fireworks in BTC price.

This is the part nobody enjoys. Compression. Sideways drift. Narrative fatigue. But structurally, this is where long-term cycles tend to rebuild.

Well, here’s the kicker. The previous peak-to-new-ATH cycle took roughly 30 months. From the 2021 top to the 2024 breakout, so the key player here was time, not hype ans neither was the catalyst.

If the same rhythm applies from the October 2025 second top, then that stretches meaningful expansion toward 2027–2028 and most of the 2026 could pass in compression.

Even the projected $120K to $130K zone wouldn’t arrive tomorrow. It would arrive late, if we look at history.

So, what’s next? If history’s cadence holds, the Bitcoin price may simply be grinding through its “base-building” chapter. No collapse. No instant moonshot. Just time doing what it has always done to Bitcoin/USD compress first, expand later.

And if this cycle truly isn’t different, then the real Bitcoin price analysis suggests breakout might be delayed, not denied.

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