XRP price is sliding hard as regulatory optimism takes a sudden hit. A sharp drop in Polymarket odds for the Clarity Act has rattled sentiment, and traders are responding quickly. Beneath the surface, exchange data shows consistent sell-side pressure building while leverage unwinds across futures markets. Is this simply a temporary reaction to shifting expectations, or the start of a deeper XRP price reset?
When the probability of that clarity weakens, assets closely tied to regulatory narratives feel the impact immediately. XRP has long traded in sync with regulatory headlines. The sudden drop in approval odds forced traders to reassess bullish positioning. Sentiment turned cautious, and early sellers began to take control. However, sentiment alone does not sustain downside moves. Exchange data confirms real selling pressure.
Adding to the concern, price is struggling to reclaim the mid-channel region, and every minor bounce is facing supply near the declining EMA cluster. This indicates that short-term traders are using rallies as exit opportunities rather than accumulation zones.
The immediate support sits around the $1.28–$1.30 area, where prior consolidation occurred. However, if that zone fails to attract strong demand, the broader chart opens up toward the psychological $1.00 level.
The $1.00 mark is significant for two reasons. First, it aligns with a major horizontal demand area from previous accumulation phases. Second, it represents a psychological support that often attracts liquidity and long-term positioning. The RSI remains in the lower half of the range, showing no clear bullish divergence yet. This suggests downside pressure may persist unless buyers step in decisively.
For XRP to invalidate the immediate bearish structure, price would need to reclaim the $1.45–$1.50 region and close back above the key EMAs. Until that happens, the path of least resistance appears tilted downward. A controlled drift toward deeper support remains possible if selling pressure continues, and that keeps the $1.00 retest firmly on the table.
Final Words
XRP’s weakness appears rooted in regulatory repricing and confirmed by exchange data. The drop in Clarity Act odds triggered the move, while Binance CVD confirms sustained selling pressure. With leverage already reduced, the risk of a violent liquidation event remains low. Recovery now depends on improved regulatory sentiment and a visible shift in order flow. Until buyers absorb supply decisively, XRP may remain under pressure as traders adjust to a more cautious regulatory outlook.
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