XRP’s Recovery Is Real, But The Risk Appetite Behind It Is Still Broken – Analyst

XRP has been trading sideways since early February

XRP’s Recovery Is Real, But The Risk Appetite Behind It Is Still Broken – Analyst

XRP’s Recovery Is Real, But The Risk Appetite Behind It Is Still Broken – Analyst

XRP has been trading sideways since early February, locked in a consolidation range that has tested the patience of bulls waiting for a decisive move. The price action is frustrating but not directionless — and a CryptoQuant report has just provided a behavioral framework that explains why the current market feels structurally different from the one that existed just two months ago.

XRP Ledger: Estimated Leverage Ratio | Source: CryptoQuant
XRP trading sideways | Source: XRPUSDT chart on TradingView

XRP remains locked in a tight consolidation range near $1.41, with price action compressing after the sharp February selloff that drove the market down from above $2.00. Since that capitulation event, structure has shifted from impulsive downside to horizontal stabilization, with the asset forming a series of higher lows since early April — a subtle but important change in short-term momentum.

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The 50-day moving average is beginning to flatten and sits just below current price, acting as dynamic support. However, XRP continues to trade below both the 100-day and 200-day moving averages, which are trending downward and positioned overhead near the $1.50–$1.80 region. This keeps the broader trend bearish despite the recent stabilization.

Volume supports the idea of a market in equilibrium rather than expansion. The February spike marked forced selling, while the subsequent weeks show declining participation, consistent with a cooldown phase. The recent uptick in price has not yet been accompanied by a meaningful increase in volume, suggesting limited conviction behind the move.

Key resistance remains near $1.50. A clean break above that level would signal a shift toward a recovery structure, potentially targeting $1.70. Failure to break higher keeps XRP range-bound, with $1.30 acting as the primary support level if momentum fades.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

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