Bank of Japan Rate Hike to 1% in April 2026 Could Crash Bitcoin Price

The

The global crypto market

Bitcoin Price After BOJ Rate Hike

Looking at the earlier BOJ rate hike data shows strong sensitivity to Japan’s interest rate changes. The Bitcoin price after BOJ rate hike in January 2026 reflected this clearly, as Bitcoin fell nearly 3% shortly after the Bank of Japan raised rates to 0.75%. This showed how quickly crypto markets react when global liquidity conditions change.

When interest rates increase, borrowing becomes more expensive, which reduces the flow of capital into risk assets like Bitcoin.

If the Bank of Japan raises rates again toward 1%, analysts warn Bitcoin could face more downside pressure. Some estimates suggest a possible 4% to 5% decline, which may push the Bitcoin price closer to the $60,000 level.

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FAQs

Why does a Bank of Japan rate hike impact global crypto markets?

Japan is a major source of global liquidity due to its large holdings of foreign assets. When the BOJ raises rates, it strengthens the yen and unwinds yen carry trades, reducing the flow of capital into risk assets like Bitcoin and causing market pressure.

How does Japan’s interest rate policy affect the yen carry trade?

Japan has kept rates near zero for years, making it the primary source of the yen carry trade. When the BOJ hikes rates, the yen strengthens, making these trades more expensive to maintain and forcing investors to sell off risk assets like crypto.

What is the current likelihood of a Bank of Japan rate hike in March?

Current predictions on Polymarket show an 81% likelihood that no rate hikes will occur in March. This suggests the central bank is waiting for more economic data, with the next potential move being an increase to 1% in April 2026.

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