Earlier Bitcoin cycles show that retail traders often exit during late-stage corrections. Volume tends to shrink before price forms a base.
Once retail demand returns, broader rallies usually follow.
The current setup creates mixed signals. Bitcoin is recovering in the short term, supported by easing geopolitical tension, but participation from smaller investors remains weak. This combination often appears during accumulation phases.
If historical cycles repeat, Bitcoin may still face downside toward the $40,000 area before forming a base.
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