Bitcoin Price Prediction Markets Show $100K Odds at 12% for 2026, Data Reveals

Key Takeaways:Image source: Polymarket on Thursday

Bitcoin Price Prediction Markets Show 0K Odds at 12% for 2026, Data Reveals

Bitcoin Price Prediction Markets Show $100K Odds at 12% for 2026, Data Reveals

Key Takeaways:

Image source: Polymarket on Thursday at 10:30 a.m.
Image source: Kalshi
Image source: Myriad on Thursday at 10:30 a.m.

That Myriad contract, which tracks Binance spot price data and has been live since Feb. 5, 2026, has logged $111,000 in total volume.

Taken together, the data across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Myriad points to a market that accepts bitcoin’s current price floor but assigns low odds to a breakout above six figures in the near term. Traders are hedging both directions, and the volume at extreme outcomes suggests some participants are willing to take long-shot positions at scale.

The next several months of price action will determine which of these probability curves get repriced.

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