Market Analysis
Iran’s regime collapse odds rise to 13.5% as superpower tensions escalate: FT
Iran is now a focal point for superpower tensions, similar to Ukraine and Taiwan. The odds of the Iranian regime...
Iran regime collapse odds rise to 13.5% as geopolitical tensions escalate: FT
Iran has become a focal point for superpower tensions, similar to Ukraine and Taiwan. The odds of the Iranian regime...
Iran’s 10-point response to US peace plan shows skepticism in markets
Iran has issued a 10-point response to the US peace plan, emphasizing security guarantees, ending regional conflicts, and lifting sanctions....
Ceasefire odds plummet to 1% as Iran vows retaliation against Israel
Iran has warned of retaliation following Israeli strikes on Iranian infrastructure, while Iran targets Gulf sites. Ceasefire odds for April...
Odds of US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 drop to 1.1% amid ongoing military actions
Iran’s threat of retaliation and ongoing strikes on Gulf infrastructure have slashed the odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by April...
Odds of US forces entering Iran by April 30 rise to 86% amid military tensions
Speculation about a potential ground invasion of Iran has pushed the odds of US forces entering the country by April...
Odds of US forces entering Iran by April 30 surge to 86% after F-15E downing
A U.S. F-15E was downed, prompting a rescue operation near Isfahan. Odds of US forces entering Iran by April 30...
US forces’ odds of entering Iran by April 30 rise to 86% after F-15E rescue
U.S. special operations forces successfully rescued two crew members of a downed F-15E in Iran. The odds of US forces...
Vance prepares for Iran talks as US ceasefire odds drop to 1% by April 7
Vice President J.D. Vance is preparing for talks with Iran, suggesting possible de-escalation. The odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by...
