US federal debt reaches record $39T amid economic growth concerns
## Market Snapshot The prediction market for US GDP growth in Q1 2026 is currently priced at 100% YES for...
2026
US warns against paying Iran for Strait of Hormuz passage, raising tensions
## Market Snapshot The WTI Crude Oil Prices market for May 2026 currently shows uncertainty about reaching the $150 threshold,...
Jerome Powell to step down as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026, remain as governor
## Market Snapshot Jerome Powell is set to step down as Federal Reserve Chair by May 15, 2026, with markets...
Iran submits 14-point proposal to US, aims to reopen Strait of Hormuz
## Market Snapshot The market for a US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026, is currently priced at 32% YES,...
MegaETH Token MEGA Falls 38% in 72 Hours After Binance and Coinbase Listings
Key Takeaways:MEGA/USD via Coinbase on May 2, 2026.MegaETH’s TVL on May 2, 2026, via defillama.com The longer-term case hinges on...
Beijing defies US sanctions, escalating tensions ahead of Trump-Xi summit
## Market Snapshot Trump’s Visit to China market shows 0.4% YES for May 3, 2026, as participants weigh geopolitical tensions....
Russia intercepts 270 Ukrainian drones amid ongoing conflict
## Market Snapshot In the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions market, the likelihood of a ceasefire by May 31, 2026, is currently...
Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, oil prices surge amid US-Iran conflict
## Market Snapshot In the “Fed Rate Cuts Predictions for 2026” market, current pricing shows uncertainty with no clear YES...
US considers further military action against Iran amid missile threat
## Market Snapshot The “Iran Leadership Status by End of 2026” market is currently active with sub-markets showing uncertainty in...
Hezbollah escalates conflict with Israel using fibre-optic drones in Lebanon
## Market Snapshot The “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026” market is currently priced at 9.5% YES, down...
Trump fast-tracks $8.6B arms deal to Middle East amid Iran tensions: FT
## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 market is currently priced at uncertain YES. The US-Iran nuclear...
Bank of England holds rates, signals future hikes amid Iran war
## Market Snapshot The ECB interest rates market for April 2026 currently shows a 100% probability of maintaining the status...
Bank of Botswana hikes rates amid global inflation pressures
## Market Snapshot The Bank of Brazil decision market for April 2026 is currently priced at 100% YES for an...
US fast-tracks arms sales to Middle East allies amid rising Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 are currently priced with concerns about a potential increase, but...
Mixed Signals: Bitcoin Options Show 58% Calls vs 42% Puts as Price Holds Steady
Key Takeaways: Bitcoin Bitcoin options open interest on May 2, 2026. The most actively held options bet on Deribit is...
