Iran accuses US of NPT non-compliance, heightening diplomatic tensions
## Market Snapshot The market addressing the likelihood of a US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026, currently prices at...
2026
US fast-tracks $8.6B arms deals amid Iran tensions, impacting oil markets
## Market Snapshot The market for WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 currently shows uncertainty, with the potential for...
Ukraine seeks clarity from Trump on Russia’s May 9 truce proposal
## Market Snapshot Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026, is currently priced at 9.5% YES, slightly down from...
Israeli drone strike in Lebanon raises WTI oil price concerns for May 2026
## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 market is currently evaluating the likelihood of prices reaching $150....
Zelensky warns of military activity on Belarus border amid ceasefire doubts
## Market Snapshot In the “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026” market, YES shares are priced at 9.5%,...
Drone strike on Chornobyl escalates Russo-Ukrainian conflict tensions
## Market Snapshot The “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?” market currently shows a 6% chance of a...
China blocks US sanctions on refineries, impacting oil market dynamics
## Market Snapshot The market for Donald Trump’s visit to China by May 2026 is priced at 0.1% YES for...
TRON DAO and Securitize Host TRON Whale Night at Bitcoin 2026 With MetaMask, DSA, and B.AI
PRESS RELEASE. Geneva, Switzerland, May 2, 2026 — TRON DAO, the community-governed DAO dedicated to accelerating the decentralization of the...
Paolo Ardoino Drives $1.04B Profit for Tether as Reserves Climb to $8.23B in Q1
Key Takeaways: Tether posted $1.04B profit in Q1 2026, with reserves hitting a record $8.23B. Tether holds $141B in U.S....
Hezbollah resurgence complicates Israeli withdrawal, US-Iran ceasefire talks
## Market Snapshot In the “Israel Withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026” market, the YES pricing has decreased to...
Spirit Airlines shuts down amid US-Iran-Israel conflict and rising fuel costs
## Market Snapshot “Will Iran strike Israel by April 30, 2026?” is now resolved at 100% YES. The “fall of...
Fighting escalates in Ukraine’s Kostiantynivka, challenging ceasefire hopes
## Market Snapshot Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions for April 30, 2026, currently reflect 0.1% YES pricing, unchanged from 24 hours ago....
Trump calls for war with Iran to stop nuclear threat
## Market Snapshot The market for a US declaration of war on Iran by December 31, 2026, is currently priced...
US pushes Aoun-Netanyahu meeting for Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon
## Market Snapshot The market for “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026” is currently priced at 9% YES,...
Pentagon pushes AI-first strategy, boosting Anthropic Mythos prospects
## Market Snapshot Anthropic Mythos Provision to US Government: Currently priced at 100% YES for April 30, 2026. The market...
