US and allies intensify military actions against Iran
Operation Epic Fury’s escalation cuts ceasefire odds. Ceasefire by April 7 is at 8.5% YES, down from 10% yesterday. The...
ceasefire
Trump hints at US-Iran ceasefire through back-channels
Trump suggested a potential ceasefire with Iran via back-channels. The market for a US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 is at...
Joe kent claims US wants quick end to Iran conflict, Israel disagrees
Joe Kent’s comments suggest the US seeks a swift resolution to the Iran conflict. The odds of a ceasefire by...
Pakistan steps in as intermediary in US-Iran crisis
Pakistan is acting as a mediator in the US-Iran conflict, with a 10-day ceasefire extension now in place. The odds...
Iran asserts control over Strait of Hormuz, escalating tensions
Iran’s control over the Strait of Hormuz complicates ceasefire prospects. Ceasefire by April 7 is at 7.5% YES, down from...
Tehran demands guaranteed ceasefire to end war permanently
Tehran’s call for a guaranteed ceasefire to end the conflict has increased the odds for a ceasefire by April 7...
Trump considers NATO withdrawal amid Iran war pressure
Karen Kwiatkowski’s comments on Trump’s Iran strategy bring new doubts. US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 sits at 8.5% YES, down...
Trump claims Iran seeks ceasefire; tehran denies, market odds react
Trump claims Iran’s president asked for a ceasefire. Odds for a ceasefire by April 7 are at 8% YES, down...
Bitcoin rally hits wall as Iran clowns US talks
Bitcoin’s push toward $72,000 stalled after Iran rebuffed ceasefire chatter, insisting that no talks have occurred since the war began...
Polymarket Sees Coordinated Buying on Early US-Iran Ceasefire Contracts
A cluster of newly created wallets is placing coordinated bets on an early U.S.-Iran ceasefire, igniting fresh debate over whether...
