Trump sees ceasefire extension unlikely without deal, market skeptical
Trump declared a ceasefire extension “highly unlikely” without a deal. The probability of a US-Iran permanent peace deal by April...
declared
Trump sees ceasefire extension unlikely without deal, market skeptical
Trump declared a ceasefire extension “highly unlikely” without a deal. The probability of a US-Iran permanent peace deal by April...
Kuwait declares force majeure on oil shipments amid Hormuz blockade
Kuwait has declared force majeure on its oil shipments due to the blockade in the Strait of Hormuz. The probability...
Iran rules out enriched uranium transfer, impacting US deal prospects
Iran has declared that transferring enriched uranium has never been an option, and the market for the U.S. obtaining Iranian...
Netanyahu says US-Israeli efforts against Iran ongoing, no end in sight
Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu declared that US-Israeli efforts against Iran are “not over yet,” and the market on Trump announcing...
Iran refuses talks amid US naval blockade, closing diplomatic channel
Iran has declared it will not send a negotiating delegation as long as the US naval blockade persists. The April...
Hezbollah prioritizes battlefield over diplomacy, impacting US-Iran talks
Hezbollah declared that battlefield conditions, not diplomacy, will determine its conflict with Israel, pushing the odds of a US-Iran diplomatic...
Iran asserts control over Strait of Hormuz, threatens US blockade response
Iran’s Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf declared Iran’s control over the Strait of Hormuz and threatened to restrict passage if the U.S....
Iran holds firm in Islamabad talks, no compromise on uranium enrichment
Iran’s Supreme National Security Council declared no compromise in the Islamabad talks. The odds for Iran agreeing to end uranium...
Iran’s Khamenei declares navy ready for ‘new defeats’ against enemies
Iran’s Supreme Leader Khamenei declared the navy ready to deliver “new defeats” to enemies, escalating rhetoric as the probability of...
Iran Declared the Strait of Hormuz “Completely Open” Bitcoin Jumps to $78K
After nearly two months of conflict between the US, Israel, and Iran, Iran finally declared the Strait of Hormuz “completely...
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards signal military readiness, raising conflict concerns
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards declared a “finger on the trigger” readiness, signaling potential military escalation. The April 21 ceasefire end market...
Trump claims victory as Iran agrees to 14-day ceasefire
President Trump declared a “total and complete victory” with Iran agreeing to a 14-day ceasefire, while the Polymarket contract on...
Trump announces 10-day Israel-Lebanon ceasefire, hints at Iran deal progress
Trump declared a 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon and suggested a deal with Iran is close. The US-Iran permanent...
Iran declares US-Israel defeat after ceasefire brokered by Pakistan, China
Iran’s National Security Council declared a U.S.-Israel defeat after Pakistan and China brokered a ceasefire. The ceasefire by April 15...
