Iran targets 36 merchant vessels, escalating Strait of Hormuz tensions
Iran has reportedly targeted at least 36 merchant vessels since February 28, escalating tensions in the Strait of Hormuz. The...
Iran
Iran marks 100 days since crackdown with regime stability unchanged
Iran has reached 100 days since its January crackdown on protests. The market on whether the Iranian regime will fall...
Iran maintains Strait of Hormuz blockade amid US-Iran tensions
Conflicting messages from the US and Iran about the Strait of Hormuz have driven a sharp drop in prediction market...
Iran conflict closes Strait of Hormuz, impacting global oil supply routes
The war in Iran and recent Democratic electoral victories are putting pressure on oil markets. The contract for WTI Crude...
$800M oil short placed before Iran reopens Strait of Hormuz, prices fall to $80
Someone placed an $800 million short on oil just before Iran announced the Strait of Hormuz was open, sending oil...
Iran declares Strait of Hormuz open, boosting normalization bets
Iran announced the Strait of Hormuz is open, and the Strait of Hormuz Traffic Normalization market jumped to 50% YES...
Trump signals no imminent end to Hormuz blockade amid ongoing talks
Trump’s comments on Iran suggest no imminent end to the Hormuz blockade. Odds of lifting the blockade by May 31...
Iran Closes Strait of Hormuz Hours After Trump Said It Would ‘Never’ Close Again
Key Takeaways:Trump’s Truth Social post on April 17.Bitcoin Hits $78,348 as Strait of Hormuz Reopening Ignites Global Relief RallyBitcoin Hits...
Iran refuses to end uranium enrichment, stalling diplomatic progress
Iran’s refusal to relinquish its enrichment rights has moved the odds on an Iran uranium enrichment agreement by April 30,...
Trump: Iran to halt uranium enrichment, reopen Strait of Hormuz
Trump claims Iran will stop enriching uranium and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The market for “Iran agrees to end...
Democrats fail to block Trump’s Iran actions, peace deal by April 22 uncertain
Democrats failed to block Trump’s military actions in Iran, and the US-Iran permanent peace deal market for April 22 now...
Iran-US war declaration market stable amid economic constraints
The market for a US declaration of war on Iran by December 31, 2026, sits at 7.5% YES, showing little...
Pakistan mediates US-Iran talks, Trump oil sanction relief odds rise
Pakistan’s military, led by Chief Asim Munir, is mediating between the US and Iran and preparing for direct talks in...
Trump pledges US aid to Lebanon, opposes Iran tolls on Strait of Hormuz
Trump promised US aid to stabilize Lebanon and opposed Iranian tolls on the Strait of Hormuz. The Iran operations announcement...
Iran ties Strait of Hormuz access to ceasefire terms
Iran is tying Strait of Hormuz access to ceasefire terms. The market for diplomatic meetings with Iran by April 30...
