Israel demands Hezbollah disarm for peace, impacting ceasefire odds
Israel’s demand that Hezbollah disarm as a precondition for peace is moving prediction markets. The odds for a diplomatic meeting...
Israel’s
US-Iran ceasefire odds drop to 1.1% as military plans escalate tensions
The U.S. and Israel’s joint plans to target Iran’s nuclear facilities have slashed the odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by...
Ceasefire odds drop sharply amid Israel-Iran military escalation
Israel’s attack on Iran’s oil facilities and Iran’s disruption of the Strait of Hormuz have hit the probability of a...
Ceasefire odds drop to 1.8% as Iran continues missile attacks on Israel
Israel’s missile defenses stopped most Iranian missiles, but Iran continues sporadic attacks. The odds of a ceasefire by April 7...
Bitcoin tumbles after Israel launches strike on Iran, triggering $100M in longs liquidated in 15 minutes
Bitcoin plunged immediately after news of Israel’s preventative strike Within minutes of the headlines breaking, roughly $100 million in long...
