Israel continues military operations against Hezbollah, eyes Beirut escalation
Israel announced that its military operation against Hezbollah is “still not complete.” Odds for Israeli military action in Greater Beirut...
military
Spain blocks US base access amid Iran tensions, impacting oil markets
Spain’s refusal to allow US access to its military bases during rising US-Iran tensions has shifted crude oil markets. Crude...
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards signal military readiness, raising conflict concerns
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards declared a “finger on the trigger” readiness, signaling potential military escalation. The April 21 ceasefire end market...
Iranian advisor threatens US warships, impacting uranium market dynamics
Iranian military advisor Mohsen Rezaei’s remarks threatening to sink US warships have pushed odds lower on the uranium transfer market....
IDF to acquire 5,000 FPV drones amid Hezbollah tensions
The IDF is acquiring 5,000 FPV assault drones from Xtend, and the Polymarket contract on Israeli military action in Beirut...
Iran military threats escalate as ECB warns of COVID-like supply chain disruption
Iran’s military rhetoric has escalated with press statements hinting at readiness to sink US warships. Odds for no US-Iran diplomatic...
Fetterman comments fuel speculation on Iran leadership change amid US tensions
Sen. Fetterman’s comments on intensifying US military action against Iran are moving prediction markets. The Iran leadership change contract (by...
US forces intensify SERE training amid heightened Iran conflict risks
Elite U.S. military forces are engaged in SERE training for surviving and evading capture behind enemy lines during the ongoing...
Iran maintains regional influence despite military setbacks, complicating ceasefire
Iran’s ability to maintain regional influence despite military setbacks complicates ceasefire prospects. The US-Iran ceasefire by April 15 market is...
Republicans urge Trump to seek Congress approval for Iran military actions
Some Republicans are calling for President Trump to seek Congressional approval for continued military operations in Iran. The market for...
Iran orders ceasefire, halting military actions amid conflict
Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has ordered a halt to all military actions, accepting a ceasefire in the ongoing conflict....
Iran orders ceasefire, halting military actions amid conflict
Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has ordered a halt to all military actions, accepting a ceasefire in the ongoing conflict....
Iran’s regime faces instability amid weakened military and rising social unrest
Iran’s regime is experiencing instability as its military capabilities weaken and social unrest increases. The odds of the Iranian regime...
Iran’s regime faces instability amid weakened military and rising social unrest
Iran’s regime is experiencing instability as its military capabilities weaken and social unrest increases. The odds of the Iranian regime...
US and Israel plan Iran strikes as ceasefire odds drop
The U.S. and Israel are preparing military strikes inside Iran if negotiations fail. Ceasefire by April 7 sits at 5.7%...
