Military activities in Strait of Hormuz drive bets on $160 WTI crude oil in April
Military activities around the Strait of Hormuz have pushed traders to bet on higher oil prices, with the market for...
military
Trump vows retaliation after Iran shoots down US F-15 jet
Trump’s angry response to Iran’s shootdown of a U.S. F-15 jet points to continued conflict. The market for military action...
US deploys sea drones to counter mine threats in Strait of Hormuz
The U.S. military has deployed autonomous sea drones to address mine threats in the Strait of Hormuz. Odds for 80...
Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, contradicts foreign minister’s open claim
Iran’s military and government are publicly contradicting each other over the Strait of Hormuz: the IRGC declared it closed while...
Iran orders Indian ship to halt in Strait of Hormuz escalation
Iran’s military ordered an Indian vessel to halt its passage through the Strait of Hormuz. The market on whether fewer...
Iran military dismisses foreign minister’s Hormuz reopening claims amid tensions
Iran’s military slammed its own Foreign Minister over Strait of Hormuz reopening claims, and the odds for Iranian military action...
Lebanon to investigate UNIFIL attack amid Hezbollah tensions, Macron says
Lebanon has pledged to investigate the UNIFIL attack, while Polymarket contracts on Israeli military action in Beirut by April 1,...
Trump dismisses Iran’s military, doubts ceasefire extension
President Trump spoke dismissively about Iran’s military capabilities, casting doubt on a ceasefire extension. The odds of a US-Iran permanent...
Democrats fail to block Trump’s Iran actions, peace deal by April 22 uncertain
Democrats failed to block Trump’s military actions in Iran, and the US-Iran permanent peace deal market for April 22 now...
EU military simulations spotlight NATO withdrawal speculation
The EU’s decision to conduct military simulations operationalizing its mutual assistance clause has drawn attention to the NATO withdrawal market...
Pakistan mediates US-Iran talks, Trump oil sanction relief odds rise
Pakistan’s military, led by Chief Asim Munir, is mediating between the US and Iran and preparing for direct talks in...
Israel defends Khiam destruction amid rising ceasefire market activity
Former IDF Spokesperson Jonathan Conricus defended the destruction of Khiam, calling it a justified military action. The Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire by...
IRGC imposes new military transit restrictions on Strait of Hormuz
The IRGC issued new transit restrictions on the Strait of Hormuz, banning military vessels and requiring IRGC permission for all...
Israel continues military operations against Hezbollah, eyes Beirut escalation
Israel announced that its military operation against Hezbollah is “still not complete.” Odds for Israeli military action in Greater Beirut...
Spain blocks US base access amid Iran tensions, impacting oil markets
Spain’s refusal to allow US access to its military bases during rising US-Iran tensions has shifted crude oil markets. Crude...
