Iran tightens Strait of Hormuz control, dimming US peace deal prospects
Iran’s continued control of the Strait of Hormuz has cratered prospects for a US-Iran peace deal. The permanent peace deal...
peace
US-Iran peace deal odds plummet as diplomatic progress stalls
The US-Iran “no peace, no war” stalemate shows no signs of breaking. The permanent peace deal by April 30 market...
US-Iran peace deal odds plummet as diplomatic progress stalls
The US-Iran “no peace, no war” stalemate shows no signs of breaking. The permanent peace deal by April 30 market...
US cancels envoy trips as Iran peace deal market plummets
The cancellation of US envoy trips to Iran has driven the April 30 peace deal market down to 2% YES,...
Iran-US peace talks collapse, crude oil market remains steady
Iran-US peace talks in Islamabad broke down, drawing attention to crude oil markets. The Polymarket contract for WTI Crude Oil...
US-Iran peace deal odds plummet as negotiations stall
Negotiations between the U.S. and Iran may be a tactical maneuver to frame Iran as refusing peace, potentially justifying a...
US cancels Iran peace talks, protests erupt in Tel Aviv
Protests broke out in Tel Aviv after the US canceled peace talks with Iran in Islamabad, and the Polymarket contract...
Trump halts US-Iran peace talks, April 30 deal market plummets
Trump pulled the plug on US-Iran peace talks, and the April 30 permanent peace deal market dropped to 3.8% YES,...
Trump cancels envoy trip to Pakistan, impacting US-Iran peace prospects
President Trump has canceled a trip by US envoys to Pakistan, and the odds of a US-Iran permanent peace deal...
US oil prices surge above $98 as US-Iran peace talks stall
US oil prices have jumped over $98 per barrel due to stalled US-Iran peace talks, but the Polymarket contract on...
US-Iran peace talks may resume Friday amid tense ceasefire
The New York Post reports that a second round of U.S.-Iran peace talks might begin as soon as Friday. The...
JD Vance’s Pakistan trip for US-Iran peace talks postponed amid tensions
JD Vance’s planned visit to Pakistan for US-Iran peace talks has been postponed. The US x Iran permanent peace deal...
Iran agrees to peace talks if US lifts Hormuz blockade
Iran has agreed to send a delegation for peace talks with the US, conditional on the US lifting its blockade...
Iran condemns Israeli actions in Somalia amid peace deal skepticism
Iran condemned Israeli actions in Somalia, and the Polymarket contract for a permanent Israel-Iran peace deal by April 30, 2026,...
Iran prepares for private peace talks with US amid public hostility
Iranian officials are privately preparing to resume peace talks with the US while maintaining a publicly aggressive stance. Ceasefire odds...
