Attack on bulk carrier near Iran heightens regional tensions
## Market Snapshot In the market for “Iran closes its airspace by May 8?”, the current YES pricing is 12.5%,...
pricing
OPEC+ raises oil output quotas amid Strait of Hormuz closure
## Market Snapshot In the “Crude Oil Price Predictions by June” market, current pricing reflects a 100% YES outcome for...
Drone strike near Zaporizhzhia plant heightens Russia-Ukraine tensions
## Market Snapshot Market: Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026 Current YES Pricing: 6.0% Trend: Pricing stable over the last...
UK local elections test Labour’s leadership amid two-party system breakdown
## Market Snapshot The “Starmer out by June 30, 2026” market currently shows a 40.5% YES pricing, up slightly from...
Iran proposes peace plan amid US tensions, seeks security assurances
## Market Snapshot Iran’s leadership status market reflects a 33.5% YES pricing for a change by December 31, down from...
Russia, Ukraine dispute Sumy region control amid ongoing conflict
## Market Snapshot The “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026” market is currently pricing a decrease in the...
Iran conflict escalates, Strait of Hormuz closure impacts oil supply
## Market Snapshot Iran’s enriched uranium surrender market shows a decrease in YES pricing, with the December 31, 2026, odds...
China defies US sanctions, complicates Trump visit and Iran deal talks
## Market Snapshot In the “Trump Visit to China” market, YES pricing is at 94% for May 31 and 97%...
MegaETH launches MEGA token with $1.5B valuation on major exchanges
## Market Snapshot MegaETH’s token launch has led to the market pricing the “MegaETH market cap after launch” at support...
Iran criticizes Europe over nuclear deal, diplomatic tensions rise
## Market Snapshot Activity around the “Iran Uranium Enrichment Agreement” shows a current pricing of 9.5% YES, down from 14%...
Iran-US hostilities expected to resume, impacting Hormuz blockade market
## Market Snapshot The “Next US x Iran Diplomatic Meeting” market currently has an uncertain YES pricing for dates around...
Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, oil prices surge amid US-Iran conflict
## Market Snapshot In the “Fed Rate Cuts Predictions for 2026” market, current pricing shows uncertainty with no clear YES...
Hezbollah resurgence complicates Israeli withdrawal, US-Iran ceasefire talks
## Market Snapshot In the “Israel Withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026” market, the YES pricing has decreased to...
Fighting escalates in Ukraine’s Kostiantynivka, challenging ceasefire hopes
## Market Snapshot Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions for April 30, 2026, currently reflect 0.1% YES pricing, unchanged from 24 hours ago....
China urges continuation of Iran ceasefire amid stalled negotiations
## Market Snapshot The US-Iran ceasefire market currently shows a 0.1% YES pricing, down from 1% 24 hours ago. Despite...
