OpenAI GPT-5.5 release by April 30 market confidence
Social media chatter pointing to GPT-5.5 being ready for everyday tasks has pushed the GPT-5.5 release by April 30 market...
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Mojtaba Khamenei named Iran’s Supreme Leader, stabilizing regime outlook
Mojtaba Khamenei’s appointment as Iran’s Supreme Leader has pushed down the odds of a regime fall by May 31, with...
US military supply chain dependency on China raises conflict concerns
Larry Johnson’s warning about U.S. military supply chain dependency on China has pushed traders to reassess conflict odds. The market...
Lebanon to disarm Hezbollah, negotiate with Israel independently of Iran
Lebanon’s move to negotiate independently of Iran and disarm Hezbollah has pushed the Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting market to 100% YES...
Trump announces indefinite ceasefire with Iran, oil prices decline
Trump’s indefinite ceasefire announcement with Iran has pushed oil-linked prediction markets lower. The probability of WTI Crude Oil hitting $160...
SpaceX files confidentially for IPO, potential $2T valuation
SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing for an IPO has pushed the June 30, 2026 market to 70.5% YES, up from 68%...
Bitcoin Watch: All Eyes On $86,000—What Could Fuel The Next Bullish Breakout
Bitcoin (BTC) pushed higher on Wednesday, extending its recovery rally to levels not seen since late January. The price rose...
Anthropic’s AI raises fears of $100M+ crypto hack by year-end
Anthropic’s release of Claude Mythos Preview has pushed traders to price the likelihood of another $100M+ crypto hack by December...
Trump unlikely to extend Iran ceasefire as deadline looms
Trump’s statement on the ceasefire extension has pushed the odds of a US-Iran ceasefire ending by April 21 down to...
Iran absent from Pakistan peace talks, dims April 22 US-Iran deal prospects
Iran’s absence from the latest peace talks in Pakistan has pushed the US-Iran permanent peace deal market for April 22...
CHZ Price Jumps 10% as Chiliz Targets U.S. Market Expansion
CHZ price just woke up with a sharp 10% intraday spike has pushed the token back into trader conversations, and...
Military activities in Strait of Hormuz drive bets on $160 WTI crude oil in April
Military activities around the Strait of Hormuz have pushed traders to bet on higher oil prices, with the market for...
Moscow’s Soviet-style tactics dim Russia-Ukraine ceasefire prospects
Daniel Fried’s comments on Moscow’s return to Soviet-style escalation tactics have pushed the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire outlook slightly lower. The ceasefire...
Iran denies uranium transfer to US, impacting market probabilities
Iran’s denial of transferring enriched uranium to the US has pushed the odds for the US obtaining Iranian enriched uranium...
Bulgaria’s elections Sunday could secure Radev’s path to prime minister
Bulgaria’s parliamentary elections this Sunday have pushed Rumen Radev’s chances of becoming the next Prime Minister to 93.9% YES, up...
