CMA CGM vessel attacked in Strait of Hormuz, escalating regional tensions
## Market Snapshot The market for the “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15” is currently priced...
Snapshot The
CMA CGM vessel attacked in Strait of Hormuz, escalating regional tensions
## Market Snapshot The market for the “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15” is currently priced...
Bitcoin, Ethereum ETFs see major inflows amid market uncertainty
## Market Snapshot The “Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 4-10?” market is currently priced at 0.5% YES. The “Will the...
Iran continues attacks despite ceasefire, UAE reports over 500 missile strikes
## Market Snapshot The market for “Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?” is currently priced at 2.6% YES, down...
Trump, Xi to discuss Taiwan amid China’s military drills near island
## Market Snapshot The market on whether Donald Trump will visit China on May 7, 2026, is currently priced at...
Iran, China discuss ceasefire and Hormuz reopening amid US tensions
## Market Snapshot The market for the fall of the Iranian regime by May 31 is currently priced at 2.6%...
VP Vance campaigns in Iowa as GOP fears grow for 2026 midterms
## Market Snapshot The “Balance of Power in 2026 Midterms” market is currently focused on the potential for Democratic control...
Hezbollah’s unjammable drones escalate Israel-Lebanon tensions, impact withdrawal odds
## Market Snapshot The “Israel withdraws from Lebanon” market sees a decrease in YES pricing, with current odds at 6.5%...
Middle East tensions, oil prices complicate Fed rate cut outlook for 2026
## Market Snapshot The market for a Fed rate cut by the June 2026 meeting is priced at 3.6% YES,...
Russian strikes escalate, dimming 2026 Ukraine ceasefire hopes
## Market Snapshot The “Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions” market is observing a decrease in the likelihood of a ceasefire by the...
Iran introduces permit system for Strait of Hormuz vessel transits
## Market Snapshot The “Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?” market is...
US military escorts US ships through Strait of Hormuz amid tensions
## Market Snapshot The market for the Strait of Hormuz ship transit is currently priced at 73% YES, up from...
Trump declares Iran war ‘terminated’ amid airspace closure speculation
## Market Snapshot The market for “Iran closes its airspace by May 8?” is currently priced at 15.5% YES, down...
US forces capture Nicolás Maduro, confirming removal before 2027
## Market Snapshot The “Next Leader Out Before 2027” market is directly impacted as Nicolás Maduro’s capture by U.S. forces...
US confirms ongoing military operations in Strait of Hormuz amid Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot The “US Invasion of Iran” market currently has no updated odds, while the “US Declaration of War...
