Trump hints at Iran accepting ceasefire terms without nuclear conditions
Trump suggests Iran could accept ceasefire terms excluding nuclear conditions. Odds for a ceasefire by April 7 are at 1.1%...
Trump
Trump warns of military escalation if Iran deal not reached by Tuesday
President Trump has warned of military escalation if Iran fails to reach a deal by Tuesday. The odds of the...
Trump threatens Iran with infrastructure targets if no deal by Tuesday: FT
President Trump has issued an ultimatum to Iran, threatening to target infrastructure if no deal is reached by Tuesday. The...
Trump claims Iran deal possible by tomorrow, but market remains skeptical
Trump suggests a deal with Iran could be finalized by tomorrow. The ceasefire by April 7 market remains skeptical at...
Trump claims US armed Iranian protesters, predicts deal with Iran by tomorrow
Trump claims the US has armed Iranian protesters and Kurds, predicting a deal with Iran by tomorrow. The odds for...
Ceasefire odds for US-Iran talks plummet, April 7 now just 1% YES
US-Iran negotiations continue, with Trump extending a pause on strikes to support talks. However, the odds of a ceasefire by...
Trump’s statement boosts odds of Iranian regime falling by June 30 to 14%
Trump announced that Iranian military leaders were killed during Israeli strikes in Tehran. The odds of the Iranian regime falling...
Trump’s Tehran strike raises odds of Iranian regime fall to 14% by June 30
Trump announced that top Iranian military leaders were killed in a Tehran strike, raising the odds of Iran’s regime falling...
Trump gives Iran 48 hours to negotiate deal as ceasefire odds plummet to 1%
President Trump has given Iran 48 hours to reach a deal, warning of severe consequences otherwise. The odds of a...
Trump issues 48-hour ultimatum to Iran amid dwindling ceasefire odds
President Trump has issued a 48-hour ultimatum to Iran, threatening severe consequences if no deal is reached. The odds of...
Trump gives Iran 10 days to negotiate or face Strait of Hormuz reopening
Trump has given Iran 10 days to either strike a deal or reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The odds of...
Trump’s Jobs Report Update vs. Bitcoin’s Worst Retail Participation in 9 Years
On Good Friday, President Trump posted a victory lap on Truth Social. 186,000 private sector jobs added in March. Trade...
Trump continues talks despite Iran downing two US jets; ceasefire odds drop to 1.1%
Trump continues negotiations despite Iran shooting down two US jets. The odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 are...
Trump signs executive order for 100% tariffs on patented drugs to boost US production
President Trump signed an executive order imposing 100% tariffs on patented drugs to boost US production. The odds of the...
Trump: US jet downing won’t affect Iran negotiations, ceasefire odds drop
Trump stated that the downing of a US jet won’t disrupt negotiations with Iran. The market for a US-Iran ceasefire...
