25 bps decrease
50+ bps decrease
It may seem unlikely — but if any one hits, the wallet stands to profit $1.27M+, $2.01M+, or… pic.twitter.com/DHFMxmLFEh
— Lookonchain (@lookonchain) January 27, 2026
Still, the wallet bet on a 25+ basis point rate hike, a 25 bps cut, and a 50+ bps cut – outcomes that cannot all occur.
If any one scenario hits, the wallet could earn between $1.27 million and $5.64 million, despite currently showing an all-time loss of about $3,000.
Why Crypto Traders Are Paying Attention
For Bitcoin, the rate decision itself may not move prices. The bigger factor is tone. A hawkish pause could pressure risk assets, while dovish language, especially hints that future cuts remain possible, could support a breakout.
As the Fed prepares to speak, Bitcoin is holding its ground, and traders are listening closely.
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FAQs
The next Federal Reserve meeting concludes on January 28, 2026, when officials announce their latest interest rate decision.
The Fed typically announces its rate decision at 2:00 PM ET, followed by a press conference from the Fed Chair.
Crypto markets respond strongly to Fed guidance, as interest rate outlooks influence liquidity, risk appetite, and capital flows.
Dovish signals may fuel a Bitcoin breakout, while hawkish language could pressure prices even without a rate change.
