Will Bitcoin Reach $2.9M? VanEck’s 25-Year Forecast Explained
What This Means for Investors
VanEck suggests putting 1-3% of a diversified portfolio into Bitcoin. Their data shows a 3% allocation to a traditional 60/40 portfolio historically produced the best risk-adjusted returns.
The firm’s bottom line is: “The cost of zero exposure to the most established non-sovereign reserve asset may now exceed the volatility risk of the position itself.”
Worth noting: this 15% growth assumption is actually down from VanEck’s December 2024 projection, which used 25%.
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FAQs
Central banks might add Bitcoin to diversify away from traditional government debt, hedge against inflation, and reduce exposure to currency volatility. This reflects growing interest in non-sovereign assets as a financial safety measure.
If Bitcoin handles a significant share of international payments, it could lower transaction costs, speed cross-border settlements, and reduce reliance on traditional banking networks. It may also prompt regulatory adjustments in multiple countries.
Volatility, regulatory uncertainty, and technological vulnerabilities could disrupt trade if adoption scales rapidly. Businesses and governments would need robust infrastructure and risk management to integrate Bitcoin safely.
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