XRP Price Prediction 2026: Is a Long-Awaited Breakout Finally Taking Shape?

After years of underperformance and prolonged consolidation, the XRP price

In the base-case scenario, XRP remains range-bound between $1.80 and $3.20, reflecting continued consolidation after the strong rally seen in early 2025. This would keep price volatility contained and delay breakout expectations into the later 2026.

The bearish invalidation scenario emerges if XRP loses its rising trend support and breaks below $1.80 on a weekly closing basis. Such a move would signal a loss of higher-range acceptance and expose downside risk of 25%–35%, potentially dragging price back toward long-term range support.

Momentum indicators align with this balanced outlook. Weekly RSI has cooled to the mid-40s from overbought levels above 70, while MACD momentum has eased without flipping decisively negative—a pattern typically seen during trend digestion rather than breakdowns.

The Final Verdict

XRP’s setup heading into 2026 is materially stronger than in previous years, but confirmation remains key. The market is compressing below long-term resistance while holding higher-range support — a structure that often precedes expansion, but does not guarantee it. A sustained breakout would require acceptance above key resistance zones, while failure to hold support would invalidate the bullish thesis. Until resolution occurs, XRP remains in a high-stakes consolidation phase where structure, not optimism, will decide the next major move.

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