The chart highlights a bearish market structure: lower highs suggest sellers step in earlier on each rally. The marked boxes represent key supply-demand zones, where price pauses, breaks, and later retests. XRP is now hovering near the lower boundary of its current range (around $1.80–$1.90), which has acted as demand. A bounce from this area could target mid-range resistance near $2.10–$2.20, but failure to hold support risks a deeper sell-off into new lows.
Bullish & bearish scenarios ahead of the monthly close
Bullish scenario (needs confirmation)
- Hold above $1.80–$1.90 on 4H closes and defend it on retests.
- A relief rally could aim for $2.05–$2.15 first, then $2.25–$2.30 (major resistance).
- Bulls only gain real control if XRP reclaims $2.30+ and turns it into support—otherwise it’s still a counter-trend bounce.
Bearish scenario (if support breaks)
- A clean breakdown below $1.80 with follow-through suggests sellers have won the range.
- Expect liquidity sweeps and faster downside candles, especially into the monthly close.
- Any bounce back toward $1.90–$2.00 could become a retest-and-reject zone if momentum remains weak.
Conclusion
Technically, the XRP price is still stuck in a “prove it” zone: lower highs keep the trend heavy, and the $1.80–$1.90 support band is the line between a bounce and a breakdown. If buyers defend it, XRP can squeeze higher into the $2.10–$2.30 resistance cluster, but it needs a reclaim, not just a wick, to shift the narrative.
Fundamentally, XRP tends to move hardest when liquidity returns and headlines hit, especially those related to broader risk sentiment or Ripple developments. Into the monthly close, that mix of technical pressure and catalyst sensitivity makes XRP a trader’s coin: it can look boring for days, then sprint the moment the market “picks a side.”
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