Russian troop desertions strain efforts to capture Kostyantynivka
## Market Snapshot In the “Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?” market, current pricing shows 77% YES, down from...
market
Trump declares Iran war ‘terminated’ amid airspace closure speculation
## Market Snapshot The market for “Iran closes its airspace by May 8?” is currently priced at 15.5% YES, down...
XRP sentiment hits two-year high with Rakuten Wallet integration
## Market Snapshot XRP Price Predictions for May: Currently priced at 30% YES for reaching $1.60 in May. Activity shows...
Iran asserts permanent control over Strait of Hormuz amid US tensions
## Market Snapshot In the “Strait of Hormuz Ship Transit” market, the probability of 20 ships transiting the strait on...
Iran to dismantle US exploitation of Hormuz, says Khamenei
## Market Snapshot Next US-Iran Diplomatic Meeting market currently prices at 39.6% YES for a meeting by June 30, 2026,...
Somali terror groups escalate piracy in Bab el-Mandeb Strait, raising security risks
## Market Snapshot In the Bab el-Mandeb Strait closure market, the probability of an effective closure by May 31 is...
Iran’s economic turmoil deepens amid naval blockade and military actions
## Market Snapshot Iran Military Action Against Neighbors market currently reflects a 100% YES pricing. The WTI Crude Oil Prices...
US forces capture Nicolás Maduro, confirming removal before 2027
## Market Snapshot The “Next Leader Out Before 2027” market is directly impacted as Nicolás Maduro’s capture by U.S. forces...
Israel ramps up military operations in Lebanon amid ceasefire violations
## Market Snapshot Israel’s withdrawal from Lebanon by May 31, 2026, is currently priced at 2.4% YES, down from 3%...
US confirms ongoing military operations in Strait of Hormuz amid Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot The “US Invasion of Iran” market currently has no updated odds, while the “US Declaration of War...
Middle East tensions drive WTI crude oil prices higher, impacting Fed rate cut odds
## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 market suggests an increase in odds for reaching $150 per...
Anthropic CEO comments may impact Google’s AI model ranking by May
## Market Snapshot The “best AI model by May” market currently reflects implications of Anthropic’s CEO statements, suggesting a potential...
UN resolution demands Iran halt ship attacks, illegal tolls in Strait of Hormuz
## Market Snapshot The market concerning a US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31 shows a current pricing of 14.5% YES,...
Israel vows more destruction in Lebanon amid ongoing military operations
## Market Snapshot The market for “Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026” is currently priced at...
Ripple CEO confirms no IPO plans despite $13T in payments processed
## Market Snapshot XRP price predictions for May are currently priced at 31% YES for reaching $1.60, showing a slight...
