Bitcoin LTH Data Turns Cautious: Supply Rises, But SOPR Stays Below 1.0

Bitcoin’s long-term holder cohort is still expandi

Bitcoin LTH Data Turns Cautious: Supply Rises, But SOPR Stays Below 1.0

Bitcoin LTH Data Turns Cautious: Supply Rises, But SOPR Stays Below 1.0

Bitcoin’s long-term holder cohort is still expanding, but a key profitability gauge has slipped back below neutral, creating a more cautious read on market structure even as older supply continues to move out of circulation.
In an April 17 market note, on-chain analyst Axel Adler Jr. said Bitcoin’s LTH Realized Supply climbed from 5.26 million BTC in January to 8.32 million BTC as of April 16, an increase of 3.06 million BTC in three months. At the same time, LTH SOPR, measured on a seven-day moving average, fell to 0.979 and has now remained below 1.0 for five straight days.

Bitcoin LTH Realized Supply Total | Source: Axel Adler Jr.
Bitcoin LTH SOPR 7-day SMA | Source: Axel Adler Jr.
Bitcoin faces the 20-week EMA, 1-week chart | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com

Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

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