Iran refuses talks as US blockade remains, studies Ukraine tactics
Iran refused to send negotiators to Islamabad while the U.S. naval blockade remains in place and Tehran studies Ukraine’s military...
Market Analysis
Military activities in Strait of Hormuz drive bets on $160 WTI crude oil in April
Military activities around the Strait of Hormuz have pushed traders to bet on higher oil prices, with the market for...
Tehran rallies bolster regime support amid US-Israeli tensions
Large pro-government rallies in Tehran signal domestic support for the regime during ongoing conflict. The odds for the Iranian regime...
Pope Leo XIV condemns US missile strike on Iranian school, tensions rise
Iranian families of children killed in a US missile strike on Minab school have expressed gratitude to Pope Leo XIV...
US-Iran diplomatic gaps narrow, Bitcoin steady amid dollar concerns
Al Hadath reports narrowing gaps between the US and Iran. The probability of no qualifying US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June...
Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, halting ship transit and trapping sailors
Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz has halted transit, trapping thousands of sailors and making it near-certain that fewer...
China’s GDP ratio to US drops amid real estate crisis
China’s GDP ratio to the US has fallen from 78% to 64%, and the real estate crisis is making things...
Iran proposes tolls on Strait of Hormuz amid oil market volatility
Iran’s VP Mohammad Reza Aref has suggested imposing tolls on the Strait of Hormuz, while the Polymarket contract for WTI...
Oil prices surge as Strait of Hormuz remains closed
Oil prices are surging as the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed. WTI Crude Oil hitting $160 in April is...
Pentagon maintains aggressive stance on Iran, impacting prediction markets
U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth criticized American media during a Pentagon briefing, accusing them of unpatriotic reporting. Trump’s announcement...
Iran criticizes US threats, impacting Hormuz blockade odds
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi criticized US threats against Iranian ports, claiming they show a lack of commitment to diplomacy....
NAB raises credit provisioning amid Middle East conflict, impacting Bitcoin sentiment
National Australia Bank has raised its credit provisioning, pointing to market volatility from the Middle East conflict. This has led...
Vessels attacked in Strait of Hormuz, raising energy supply disruption fears
Vessels came under fire in the Strait of Hormuz over the weekend, pushing odds that 80 ships will transit the...
US Navy seizes Iranian ship in Strait of Hormuz amid escalating tensions
The US Navy has seized an Iranian ship attempting to pass through the Strait of Hormuz. The market on Strait...
Iran reopens Strait of Hormuz, market doubts WTI hitting $160 in April
Iran’s Speaker of the Parliament referenced “vibe-trading” in digital crude oil markets, citing a Bloomberg Terminal command for Dated Brent...
