Pakistan mediates US-Iran talks, Trump oil sanction relief odds rise
Pakistan’s military, led by Chief Asim Munir, is mediating between the US and Iran and preparing for direct talks in...
Market Analysis
Iran arrests 127 in crackdown amid regime change speculation
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards arrested 127 individuals in three provinces on security-related accusations. The Iranian regime’s fall by May 31 trades...
Traders see US-Iran conflict resolution, oil prices hit $90 amid disruptions
Traders are pricing in a growing likelihood of US-Iran conflict resolution, with the odds of a permanent peace deal by...
US destroyers intercept Iranian tankers in Strait of Hormuz
Washington Post reports U.S. destroyers have forced three Iranian tankers to turn back and are pursuing two others. Strait of...
Trump threatens airstrikes if US-Iran ceasefire deal not reached by April 21
Trump warned he will resume airstrikes if the US-Iran ceasefire doesn’t produce a deal by April 21. The ceasefire extension...
Iran’s Ghalibaf dismisses Trump’s claims, tensions rise over Hormuz blockade
Iran’s Speaker of the Parliament, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, dismissed President Trump’s recent claims as false, pointing to continued friction over...
Trump announces Strait of Hormuz blockade, oil supply disruption expected
President Trump has announced a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, set to take effect later today, April 18, 2026....
Trump pledges US aid to Lebanon, opposes Iran tolls on Strait of Hormuz
Trump promised US aid to stabilize Lebanon and opposed Iranian tolls on the Strait of Hormuz. The Iran operations announcement...
XRP classified as digital commodity, enabling US exchange listings and ETFs
The U.S. SEC and CFTC have classified XRP as a digital commodity, but the Polymarket contract for XRP surpassing $1.80...
Strait of Hormuz reopens, S&P 500 hits record highs, oil prices fall
The Strait of Hormuz has reopened, and the Polymarket S&P 500 up or down on April 14 contract sits at...
US hints at potential deal with Iran amid uncertain stance
Iran’s stance remains unclear as the US hints at a deal with Tehran, while the ceasefire-by-April-30 market is at 47.5%...
Iran’s “mosquito fleet” impacts Strait of Hormuz shipping contracts
Iran’s “mosquito fleet” of small attack craft, central to its anti-access/area-denial strategy, is driving market movement in Strait of Hormuz...
Meta to cut 8,000 jobs amid big tech cost-cutting efforts
Meta Platforms plans to cut 8,000 jobs, and Trump’s Strait of Hormuz announcement has shifted geopolitical expectations. Crude oil predictions...
Iran declares Strait of Hormuz open, oil prices fall over 10%
Iran’s announcement that the Strait of Hormuz is “completely open” has sent oil prices down over 10%, and prediction markets...
