China offers to mediate hormuz crisis, impacting ceasefire odds
China is ready to mediate the Hormuz crisis, affecting US-Iran ceasefire odds. The chance of a ceasefire by April 30...
Market Analysis
Iran attacks U.S. base in jordan amid escalating conflict
Iranian drones struck the U.S.-operated Muwaffaq Salti Air Base in Jordan, escalating the conflict. The odds for a US-Iran ceasefire...
Gulf tensions lower ceasefire odds
A CIA report on rising military tensions in the Gulf has hit the odds for a ceasefire. The chance of...
Iran demands sanctions relief, US force removal before talks
Iran’s insistence on sanctions relief and US force withdrawal before negotiations has increased tensions. The odds of a ceasefire by...
Iran accuses US of conflict, Trump hints at deal
Iran blames the US for escalating tensions, while Trump suggests Iran might be open to a deal. The market for...
Trump’s potential Iran strategy tweet drops ceasefire odds
A tweet from @MarioNawfal questions if Trump will end the Iran conflict without targeting Kharg Island. The odds for a...
US and allies increase military pressure on Iran
The U.S. and allies have intensified military actions against Iran, causing the odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by April 7...
US and allies intensify military actions against Iran
Operation Epic Fury’s escalation cuts ceasefire odds. Ceasefire by April 7 is at 8.5% YES, down from 10% yesterday. The...
Trump pushes war with Iran, drops ceasefire odds
President Trump has suggested going to war with Iran, according to the Wall Street Journal. This has dropped the odds...
Rubio outlines operation epic fury, targets iran’s military
Rubio clarified that Operation Epic Fury focuses on weakening Iran’s military, not reopening the Strait of Hormuz or regime change....
Trump claims Iran war goals near, ceasefire odds drop
President Trump stated that the war in Iran is crucial to U.S. security and suggested military goals are close to...
Trump hints at US-Iran ceasefire through back-channels
Trump suggested a potential ceasefire with Iran via back-channels. The market for a US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 is at...
The war weakens US alliances as Iran remains defiant
The ongoing US-Israel-Iran conflict is straining US alliances, with Iran showing no signs of backing down. Ceasefire by April 7...
Joe kent claims US wants quick end to Iran conflict, Israel disagrees
Joe Kent’s comments suggest the US seeks a swift resolution to the Iran conflict. The odds of a ceasefire by...
Iran fortifies islands, complicating US military campaign
Iran’s reinforced control over islands near the Strait of Hormuz has put US forces in a bind. The odds of...
