Lindsey graham backs diplomacy over military action in Iran conflict
Lindsey Graham now supports diplomatic efforts to resolve the US-Iran conflict. This has dropped the odds of a US-Iran ceasefire...
Market Analysis
Trump downplays Iran conflict’s gas price effect, ceasefire odds fall
President Trump claims the Iran conflict’s impact on gas prices is temporary, expecting relief when the Strait of Hormuz reopens....
Trump rules out US ground troops in Iran, ceasefire odds nudge up
Trump’s announcement that the US will not send ground troops into Iran nudges the ceasefire odds slightly higher. The “US...
Trump suggests using US ground forces to seize iran’s uranium
Trump’s proposal to use US ground forces to seize Iran’s uranium has stirred market activity. The odds of US forces...
Trump to announce Iran ceasefire talks amid troop withdrawal discussions
President Trump plans to announce progress in Iran’s military campaign, with potential troop withdrawals and a ceasefire if Iran offers...
Pakistan steps in as intermediary in US-Iran crisis
Pakistan is acting as a mediator in the US-Iran conflict, with a 10-day ceasefire extension now in place. The odds...
Trump may announce ground troops needed for iran’s uranium
Trump might announce that ground troops are necessary to seize Iran’s uranium. Odds for US forces entering Iran by April...
Iran asserts control over Strait of Hormuz, escalating tensions
Iran’s control over the Strait of Hormuz complicates ceasefire prospects. Ceasefire by April 7 is at 7.5% YES, down from...
US delays strikes on iranian energy infrastructure to april 6
The US has postponed planned strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure to April 6, favoring diplomacy over immediate action. The US-Iran...
US and Iran clash over nuclear talks before trump’s address
The US and Iran are at odds over nuclear negotiations just before Trump’s address. Odds for a US-Iran ceasefire by...
US-Israeli strike on IRGC site near isfahan lowers ceasefire odds
A U.S.-Israeli airstrike hit an IRGC missile site near Isfahan, Iran, increasing tensions. The odds for a US-Iran ceasefire by...
Pezeshkian urges americans to see beyond rhetoric, tensions persist
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian calls for Americans to look past political rhetoric and grasp Iran’s realities, amid ongoing conflict. The...
Iran missile hits bahrain near US 5th fleet
Iran launched a missile that struck near the U.S. 5th Fleet headquarters in Bahrain. The odds of U.S. forces entering...
Tehran demands guaranteed ceasefire to end war permanently
Tehran’s call for a guaranteed ceasefire to end the conflict has increased the odds for a ceasefire by April 7...
Trump considers NATO withdrawal amid Iran war pressure
Karen Kwiatkowski’s comments on Trump’s Iran strategy bring new doubts. US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 sits at 8.5% YES, down...
