Federal Reserve Set to Hold Rates at 3.75% as Traders Price 99% Odds for April 29 FOMC
Key Takeaways: Both platforms resolve their annual cut markets using the same framework. Each 25-basis-point reduction counts as one cut. A 50-basis-point move counts as two. Emergency cuts outside of scheduled meetings are included. Kalshi closes its market Dec. 31, 2026, with payouts projected for Jan. 1, 2027. Traders will next watch the April jobs report and updated CPI data for any signs that the calculus is shifting. Until those numbers arrive, the market’s working assumption is that the Fed stays put.About Author
