Is Aave Price About to Break Down? On-Chain Data Flashes Bearish Signs

Aave has been under intense pressure following th

Aave has been under intense pressure following the recent KelpDAO exploit, which exposed vulnerabilities across the broader DeFi ecosystem. The attacker reportedly used a bridge-related flaw to mint fake collateral, borrow real ETH from Aave, and leave behind bad debt estimated at nearly $280 million. The impact was immediate—AAVE price

On the downside, the $85–$90 range remains a critical support zone. Price recently swept liquidity below this level before bouncing back toward $93, but the recovery lacks conviction. Momentum indicators support this view—RSI is hovering around mid-levels (~45–50), showing no strong bullish momentum, while CMF remains negative, signaling that capital inflows are still weak.

The Bottom Line

Aave’s current setup reflects a clear mismatch between price attempts and underlying strength. While short-term bounces are occurring, rising exchange reserves, declining protocol activity, and weak price structure all point toward distribution rather than accumulation.

Unless AAVE price can reclaim and hold above the $100–$105 resistance with strong volume and improving on-chain signals, the path of least resistance remains uncertain, with downside risks still in play. For now, the data suggests that this is not a confirmed recovery, but a fragile consolidation phase where any breakdown could trigger another leg lower.

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