Iran introduces permit system for Strait of Hormuz vessel transits
## Market Snapshot The “Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?” market is...
–$31
Russian troop desertions strain efforts to capture Kostyantynivka
## Market Snapshot In the “Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?” market, current pricing shows 77% YES, down from...
US intelligence reports limited new damage to Iran’s nuclear program
## Market Snapshot The “US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31” market is priced at 14.5% YES, slightly higher from 14%...
Spirit Airlines shuts down, JetBlue offers rescue fares after bailout denial
## Market Snapshot The “Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31” market is currently priced at 100% YES. This reflects a...
Spirit Airlines shuts down after failed bailout, liquidation confirmed
## Market Snapshot The prediction market for “Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31” is currently priced at 100% YES, confirming...
Trump administration approves $8.6B arms sales amid Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot The market for a “US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31” is currently priced at 15.5% YES, up...
Trump-Xi summit confirmed for May 14-15 in Beijing
The Trump-Xi summit is set for May 14-15 in Beijing. “Will Trump visit China by May 31?” sits at 74%...
Crypto Market Update Today: BTC and ETH Slide Below Key Levels—Is More Downside Ahead?
The crypto marketRight now, the 60-day USDT market cap change has dropped to around –$3.1 billion, a level previously seen...
