USS Gerald R. Ford departs Middle East, signals partial US military de-escalation
## Market Snapshot Market: Military Actions Against Iran Current Pricing: 0.1% YES Trend: The market has remained flat at 0.1%...
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US troop withdrawal from Germany signals potential de-escalation with Iran
## Market Snapshot Market: Military Actions Against Iran Current Pricing: 0.1% YES Trend: Stable, with no significant change in the...
Iran conflict spikes fuel prices, halts Strait of Hormuz shipping
## Market Snapshot The “Military Actions Against Iran” market, focusing on potential UK strikes, remains at 0.1% YES, unchanged from...
SEC Chair Paul Atkins Makes History as First Sitting Commissioner to Address the Bitcoin Conference
Key Takeaways:Image source: SEC.gov The backdrop is a series of regulatory actions that represent the most substantive shift in U.S....
Iran warns US maritime actions risk decisive military response
Iran’s warning of a decisive response to US maritime actions has traders watching for potential escalation. The market for Iran...
Trump’s actions spark fears of global arms race, says Major General Manner
Major General Randy Manner says Trump’s actions have sparked fears of a global arms race. The odds of Trump agreeing...
Iran condemns Israeli actions in Somalia amid peace deal skepticism
Iran condemned Israeli actions in Somalia, and the Polymarket contract for a permanent Israel-Iran peace deal by April 30, 2026,...
Iran warns of decisive response amid Hormuz blockade tensions
Iranian military commander Ali Abdollahi warned of an “immediate and decisive response” to hostile actions. Trump’s Hormuz blockade announcement market...
Democrats fail to block Trump’s Iran actions, peace deal by April 22 uncertain
Democrats failed to block Trump’s military actions in Iran, and the US-Iran permanent peace deal market for April 22 now...
Trump frustration raises questions about Netanyahu’s political future
Trump’s dissatisfaction with Israeli actions has sparked speculation about Netanyahu’s tenure, with odds for Netanyahu stepping down by June 30...
Iran orders ceasefire, halting military actions amid conflict
Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has ordered a halt to all military actions, accepting a ceasefire in the ongoing conflict....
Iran orders ceasefire, halting military actions amid conflict
Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has ordered a halt to all military actions, accepting a ceasefire in the ongoing conflict....
US and Israeli officials seek to weaken Iran’s nuclear program amid ceasefire talks
U.S. and Israeli officials aim to weaken Iran’s nuclear capabilities before ending military actions. The odds of a ceasefire by...
Iran escalates military actions, reducing US-Iran ceasefire odds to 1% by April 7
Iran has intensified its military actions with a significant missile strike across the Middle East, reducing the likelihood of a...
US and allies increase military pressure on Iran
The U.S. and allies have intensified military actions against Iran, causing the odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by April 7...
