US tightens grip on Iran with new sanctions, policy shift unlikely by April
The probability of Trump agreeing to Iranian oil sanction relief by April has dropped to 10%, down from 20% just...
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Ian Bremmer: Trump loses leverage in Iran talks, oil sanctions relief unlikely
Ian Bremmer claims Trump has lost all leverage in the Iran negotiations. The odds of Trump agreeing to Iranian demands...
US-Iran nuclear talks stalled, uranium enrichment end by April 30 uncertain
US-Iran nuclear talks are stalled, with Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by April 30 priced at 33.6% YES, up...
UAE seeks US financial aid amid escalating Iran conflict
The UAE has requested financial support from the US as the Iran conflict intensifies. The odds for Trump agreeing to...
Iran reopens Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran negotiation progress
Iran has reopened the Strait of Hormuz, and the market for Trump agreeing to Iranian demands in April is at...
Trump claims Iran suspends nuclear program indefinitely
Trump announced Iran’s indefinite suspension of its nuclear program. The market for Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by April...
Trump claims victory as Iran agrees to 14-day ceasefire
President Trump declared a “total and complete victory” with Iran agreeing to a 14-day ceasefire, while the Polymarket contract on...
