Iran extends Strait of Hormuz blockade amid US-Iran peace deal uncertainty
## Market Snapshot US-Iran permanent peace deal market shows a current 18.5% YES pricing for a deal by May 31,...
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Digital Asset Giant Moonpay Buys Sodot for $100M to Target Global Finance
Key Takeaways: Moonpay acquired Israeli firm Sodot for $100 million in an all-stock deal closed in April 2026. Moonpay Institutional...
US reviews Iran proposal as Israel-Iran peace talks stall
The likelihood of an Israel-Iran permanent peace deal by April 30 has dropped to 0.7% YES, down from 3% just...
Google signs classified AI deal with Pentagon, impacting Anthropic ranking
Google has signed a classified AI deal with the Pentagon, according to The Information. The market for Anthropic having the...
Trump skeptical of Iran peace proposal, traders doubt April 30 deal
Trump’s skepticism of Iran’s latest peace proposal has traders doubtful a deal will materialize soon. The odds of a permanent...
Iran tightens Strait of Hormuz control, dimming US peace deal prospects
Iran’s continued control of the Strait of Hormuz has cratered prospects for a US-Iran peace deal. The permanent peace deal...
Shell’s $14B Canadian shale deal marks largest acquisition in a decade
Shell’s $14 billion acquisition of a Canadian shale company is its largest deal in a decade. On Polymarket, crude oil...
South Korea’s K bank Taps Ripple for Blockchain-Based Payment Pilot
Key Takeaways: K bank signed a strategic deal with Ripple on April 27 to test blockchain-based remittance technology. Ripple now...
US cancels envoy trips as Iran peace deal market plummets
The cancellation of US envoy trips to Iran has driven the April 30 peace deal market down to 2% YES,...
Trump halts US-Iran peace talks, April 30 deal market plummets
Trump pulled the plug on US-Iran peace talks, and the April 30 permanent peace deal market dropped to 3.8% YES,...
Trump declares US-Iran ceasefire over, market resolves YES
Trump has declared the US-Iran ceasefire over without reaching a deal, and the market for Trump announcing the ceasefire end...
Trump declares US-Iran ceasefire over, market resolves YES
Trump has declared the US-Iran ceasefire over without reaching a deal, and the market for Trump announcing the ceasefire end...
Trump declares US-Iran ceasefire over, market resolves YES
Trump has declared the US-Iran ceasefire over without reaching a deal, and the market for Trump announcing the ceasefire end...
US-Iran compromise deal seen as inevitable despite market skepticism
A former RAF Air Command deputy commander has said a US-Iran compromise deal now seems inevitable, with Iran potentially gaining...
IAEA warns US-Iran nuclear deal illusory without involvement: Grossi
IAEA Director-General Rafael Grossi warned that any US-Iran nuclear deal without IAEA involvement is an “illusion,” pushing the Iran uranium...
