Iran accuses US of strikes during talks, military tensions rise
## Market Snapshot Next US x Iran Diplomatic Meeting market currently appears to have decreased YES pricing due to recent...
Diplomatic
Iran rejects US demands, Supreme Leader approves talks amid internal unity
## Market Snapshot Next US x Iran Diplomatic Meeting market is currently reflecting decreased confidence in a near-term meeting following...
Trump claims Iran seeks end to naval blockade amid diplomatic hints
Trump claims Iran requested an end to the naval blockade, hinting at diplomatic overtures. The ceasefire by April 30 market...
Iran peace talks stall, oil prices rise amid ongoing tensions
Diplomatic efforts to end the Iran war have stalled while oil prices gain on persistent tensions. The Crude Oil All-Time...
Halutzei HaBashan activists cross into Syria, Lebanon, straining Israel ties
Halutzei HaBashan activists crossed into Syria and Lebanon, complicating diplomatic prospects. The Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30 market sits...
Iran hardliners stall US peace talks, diplomatic progress falters
Iran’s hardliners are blocking pragmatic diplomatic positions in US-Iran talks. The likelihood of a peace deal by April 30 now...
White House rejects press negotiations with Iran, blocking near-term talks
The White House rejected press-based negotiations with Iran, pushing the odds of a diplomatic meeting by April 30 down to...
Iran backs Hezbollah, complicating Israel-Lebanon diplomacy prospects
A top IRGC commander has restated Iran’s support for Hezbollah, adding friction to diplomatic prospects between Israel and Lebanon. The...
Iran backs Hezbollah, complicating Israel-Lebanon diplomacy prospects
A top IRGC commander has restated Iran’s support for Hezbollah, adding friction to diplomatic prospects between Israel and Lebanon. The...
Iranian diplomat Araghchi may meet US officials, WSJ reports
Iranian diplomat Araghchi might meet with the US side, according to WSJ. The probability of a diplomatic meeting occurring by...
Iranian FM heads to Pakistan for US-Iran ceasefire talks
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi is en route to Islamabad as part of diplomatic efforts to extend the US-Iran ceasefire,...
Iran war strains Gulf economies, complicates US-Iran diplomacy
The ongoing Iran war is straining Gulf economies and complicating diplomacy. Odds of no US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30...
Lebanon to disarm Hezbollah, negotiate with Israel independently of Iran
Lebanon’s move to negotiate independently of Iran and disarm Hezbollah has pushed the Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting market to 100% YES...
Iran leadership infighting stalls US diplomatic progress
Iran’s leadership infighting is slowing diplomatic progress with the US. The market for no qualifying diplomatic meeting by June 30,...
Trump-Iran meeting unlikely by April 30 amid stalled Middle East talks
The likelihood of a diplomatic meeting between Trump and Iran by April 30 has dropped to 2.4% YES, down from...
