Pakistan’s diplomatic push impacts US-Iran ceasefire odds as deadline nears
Pakistan’s diplomatic push to salvage US-Iran talks has driven down ceasefire odds. The market for Trump announcing the end of...
Diplomatic
Trump claims Iran violated ceasefire multiple times
Trump states Iran has breached the ceasefire multiple times. Diplomatic meetings by April 30 are at 16.1% YES. Odds for...
Iran plans delegation to Pakistan amid military threats
Iran is reportedly preparing to send a delegation to Pakistan, possibly opening a path to diplomatic talks, while state media...
US-Iran diplomatic gaps narrow, Bitcoin steady amid dollar concerns
Al Hadath reports narrowing gaps between the US and Iran. The probability of no qualifying US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June...
President vows all means to end Middle East conflict amid ceasefire talks
The president’s vow to use all means to end the Middle Eastern conflict comes amid ongoing diplomatic talks. The probability...
Iran keeps Strait of Hormuz closed, disrupting US diplomatic efforts
Iran’s decision to keep the Strait of Hormuz closed has disrupted diplomatic efforts, and the likelihood of Donald Trump announcing...
Pakistan mediates US-Iran talks, impacting diplomatic meeting odds
Pakistan’s diplomatic push to mediate US-Iran talks has moved odds on Polymarket. The “no qualifying meeting by June 30” market...
Iran ties Strait of Hormuz access to ceasefire terms
Iran is tying Strait of Hormuz access to ceasefire terms. The market for diplomatic meetings with Iran by April 30...
Trump to host Israeli, Lebanese leaders at White House for talks by April 19
Trump plans to host Israeli and Lebanese leaders at the White House. The Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19 market...
Bitcoin Taps $76,000 as Iran Peace Signals Boost Crypto Markets
Bitcoin reached $76,000 on Tuesday, as optimism over a potential U.S.-Iran diplomatic opening lifted risk appetite across global markets. After...
Trump Says Iran-US Deal Is 99% About One Thing: What That Means for Bitcoin
An extremely consequential diplomatic meeting is hours away.Iran’s 71-person team, led by Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister...
Ceasefire odds for US-Iran talks plummet as intermediaries step back
Intermediaries have informed Iran that further diplomatic talks are off the table. Odds for a ceasefire by April 7 have...
Oman and Iran meet to discuss transit through Strait of Hormuz amid ceasefire doubts: FT
Oman and Iran met to ensure smooth transit through the Strait of Hormuz, signaling diplomatic engagement. The US-Iran ceasefire by...
Iran’s former diplomat calls for US deal to end conflict as ceasefire markets dip
Iran’s former top diplomat is calling for a US deal to end the conflict, suggesting a diplomatic shift. The market...
Iran’s former diplomat calls for US deal to end conflict as ceasefire markets dip
Iran’s former top diplomat is calling for a US deal to end the conflict, suggesting a diplomatic shift. The market...
