Iran conflict escalates, Strait of Hormuz closure impacts oil supply
## Market Snapshot Iran’s enriched uranium surrender market shows a decrease in YES pricing, with the December 31, 2026, odds...
enriched
Trump dismisses Iran proposal, signals continued diplomatic impasse
## Market Snapshot The market assessing whether the US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31 is currently priced at...
IAEA, Russia, US in talks to extract Iran’s enriched uranium from Isfahan
## Market Snapshot Iran’s Enriched Uranium Surrender market currently prices at 0.1% YES for April 30, 2026, and 32.5% YES...
Trump declares end of Iran conflict, uranium deal remains uncertain
## Market Snapshot US obtains Iranian enriched uranium market is priced at 8.5% YES for May 31, down from 10%...
Iran refuses to surrender enriched uranium by April 2026 deadline
Iran’s refusal to compromise at the negotiating table has dropped the probability of it surrendering its enriched uranium stockpile by...
Trump’s uranium seizure plan dims prospects for Iran nuclear deal by April 30
Trump’s plan to seize Iran’s enriched uranium signals a hardline stance that makes an April 30 nuclear deal less likely....
Trump’s uranium seizure plan dims prospects for Iran nuclear deal by April 30
Trump’s plan to seize Iran’s enriched uranium signals a hardline stance that makes an April 30 nuclear deal less likely....
Trump’s uranium seizure plan dims prospects for Iran nuclear deal by April 30
Trump’s plan to seize Iran’s enriched uranium signals a hardline stance that makes an April 30 nuclear deal less likely....
Iran rules out enriched uranium transfer, impacting US deal prospects
Iran has declared that transferring enriched uranium has never been an option, and the market for the U.S. obtaining Iranian...
Iran uranium surrender faces unprecedented US challenge by April 2026: WSJ
The Wall Street Journal reports that removing Iran’s enriched uranium would be an unprecedented challenge for the U.S. The Iran...
Iran rejects US demand to transfer enriched nuclear material
An Iranian deputy foreign minister dismissed any possibility of transferring enriched nuclear material to the US, calling American demands excessive....
Russia open to removing Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile, says Rosatom CEO
Rosatom CEO Aleksey Likhachev confirmed Russia remains open to removing Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile. The market for the US obtaining...
Iran rejects Trump’s claim on uranium stockpile removal
President Trump announced plans to remove Iran’s enriched uranium stockpiles, but Tehran promptly rejected the claim. The market on Iran...
Iran denies uranium transfer to US, impacting market probabilities
Iran’s denial of transferring enriched uranium to the US has pushed the odds for the US obtaining Iranian enriched uranium...
Trump announces US-Iran joint uranium excavation plan
Trump’s announcement of a US-Iran joint excavation to retrieve enriched uranium has moved prediction markets. Odds for the US obtaining...
