Strategy raises $82M for Bitcoin purchase amid geopolitical tensions
## Market Snapshot MicroStrategy Bitcoin Purchase Announcement market is priced at 0.2% YES, down from 10% a day ago. Bitcoin...
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Strategy pauses Bitcoin purchase, plans to resume next week
## Market Snapshot MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin purchase market is currently priced at 0.2% YES, down from 10% just 24 hours ago....
Hezbollah rejects direct talks with Israel, impacting Lebanon withdrawal outlook
## Market Snapshot Israel’s withdrawal from Lebanon by June 30, 2026, is currently priced at 9.5% YES, down from 10%...
NATO chief signals improved US-Europe ties, reducing withdrawal likelihood
## Market Snapshot The “US Withdrawal from NATO Timeline” market currently prices at 1.7% YES for a June 30 resolution,...
UKMTO advises mariners to use Oman waters amid Hormuz tensions
## Market Snapshot Iran Shipping Agreement is currently priced at 11% YES, down from 16% in the last 24 hours....
Naftali Bennett announces candidacy for Israeli Prime Minister in 2026 election
## Market Snapshot In the “Netanyahu out by end of 2026?” market, YES pricing is at 4.5% for June 30,...
Trump signals continued Hormuz blockade as strategic measure
## Market Snapshot Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement market is currently priced at 36% YES, down from 40% a day ago...
Medvedev warns of nuclear apocalypse amid Russia-NATO tensions
## Market Snapshot Russia-NATO invasion market: Priced at 2.4% YES, down from 3% a day ago. Russia-Ukraine ceasefire market: Active...
Dormant Wallets Spend 793 BTC Over 72 Hours as Bitcoin Crosses $79,000
Key Takeaways: Onchain data shows 793 BTC spent May 1-3, 2026, with 56 of 62 outputs originating from 2016 wallets....
A ‘Generational Play’ Arises Amid Economic Fury – Week In Review
This editorial is from last week’s edition of the newsletter Week in Review. Subscribe to the newsletter to get this...
Ethereum price hits $2,350 amid US-Iran tensions, institutional inflows rise
## Market Snapshot Ethereum price on May 3 is 99.9% YES for exceeding $1,800, reflecting a stable increase from last...
Iran declares no limit on uranium enrichment under IAEA supervision
## Market Snapshot US-Iran Nuclear Deal: Currently priced at 16% YES, a slight increase from 14% in the last 24...
Bitcoin rises 15% after Delphi Digital coordination shift
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin Price Predictions for May 4 currently reflect a 99.9% YES probability, unchanged from 24 hours earlier....
IDF deploys Iron Drone Raider in Lebanon amid Hezbollah drone threat
## Market Snapshot Israel Withdraws from Lebanon market is currently priced at 9% YES for June 30, 2026, and 3.7%...
Trump rejects Iran’s proposal, US-Iran nuclear deal faces setbacks
## Market Snapshot The US-Iran nuclear deal market is currently priced at 16.5% YES, up from 14% 24 hours ago....
