Justice Department drops investigation into Fed Chair Powell, easing Warsh’s path
## Market Snapshot In the “Jerome Powell Out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026” market, YES is priced at...
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Trump considers reducing US troops in Germany, raising NATO concerns
## Market Snapshot In the “US Withdrawal from NATO Timeline” market, the June 30 sub-market is currently priced at 1.7%...
Iran proposes peace plan to end war, stabilize region within 30 days
## Market Snapshot In the “Fall of the Iranian Regime” market, the current price is 3.0% YES, unchanged from the...
Iran’s largest crypto exchange founded by sons of family tied to supreme leaders: Reuters
Nobitex, Iran’s biggest crypto exchange, was founded by two brothers from one of the Islamic Republic’s most influential families with...
Drone threats in Baltic states, Finland raise NATO-Russia clash concerns
## Market Snapshot The Russia-Ukraine ceasefire market is priced at 5.9% YES, a slight decrease from 6% the previous day....
Israel intercepts projectiles from Lebanon amid ceasefire violations
## Market Snapshot In the “Israel withdraws from Lebanon” market, the June 30, 2026, sub-market is priced at 9.5% YES,...
Saudi mediation in Lebanon stalls amid internal divisions, impacting Israel withdrawal
## Market Snapshot The “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026” market is currently priced at 2% YES, down...
Ukraine drone attack on Russian tankers escalates tensions, dims ceasefire hopes
## Market Snapshot Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026: currently priced at 9.5% YES, down from 10% 24...
Trump doubts Iran peace proposal amid ongoing diplomatic challenges
## Market Snapshot US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31 is currently priced at 14.5% YES, down from 16% 24 hours...
Trump hints at renewed strikes on Iran amid nuclear deal uncertainty
## Market Snapshot US-Iran nuclear deal market is currently priced at 14.5% YES, down from 16% 24 hours ago. The...
Hezbollah escalates conflict with Israel using fibre-optic drones in Lebanon
## Market Snapshot The “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026” market is currently priced at 9.5% YES, down...
Iran vows to protect missile, nuclear tech amid US tensions
## Market Snapshot Iran Airspace Closure: Currently priced at 14% YES for a closure by May 8, down from 24%...
Trump’s WLFI Sells 5.9 Billion Tokens to Private Buyers, Leaving Early Investors Locked Out
Key Takeaways:WLFI performance following the 5.9 billion token selloff. Data derived from coingecko.com. World Liberty Financial was co-founded by the...
Trump orders 5,000 US troops out of Germany amid NATO tensions
## Market Snapshot The market for “Will the US withdraw from NATO before 2027?” is currently priced at 0.1% YES...
Iran expects further US attacks, dismisses ceasefire sincerity
## Market Snapshot US-Iran Ceasefire market shows 0.1% YES, down from 1% a day ago. Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting market...
