Vessels attacked in Strait of Hormuz, raising energy supply disruption fears
Vessels came under fire in the Strait of Hormuz over the weekend, pushing odds that 80 ships will transit the...
Hormuz
US Navy seizes Iranian ship in Strait of Hormuz amid escalating tensions
The US Navy has seized an Iranian ship attempting to pass through the Strait of Hormuz. The market on Strait...
IRGC forces US troops out of Hormuz Strait after Iranian ship attack
The IRGC forced US troops out of the Strait of Hormuz after attacking an Iranian ship, and the Polymarket contract...
Iran fires on tankers as US plans to board Iran-linked vessels in Hormuz
Iran fired on two tankers in the Strait of Hormuz while the US announced plans to board Iran-linked vessels. The...
Iran shuts Strait of Hormuz, exits talks, accuses US of attack plans
Iran shut down the Strait of Hormuz, withdrew from peace negotiations, and accused the US of planning an attack. The...
Iran claims control of Hormuz as US forces retreat, negotiations stalled
Iranian officials claim US forces retreated from the Strait of Hormuz, asserting control and hindering negotiations. The market for Trump...
Tui Cruises ships transit Strait of Hormuz amid 2026 Iran war
Tui Cruises reports two ships passed through the Strait of Hormuz. The market predicting fewer than 10 ships transiting between...
Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, impacting oil markets amid supply concerns
Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz has rattled oil-related prediction markets, but the odds of WTI Crude Oil hitting...
Iran halts oil flow through Strait of Hormuz, disrupting 20% of global supply
At least 13 oil tankers turned back from the Strait of Hormuz after Iranian warnings, interrupting approximately 20% of global...
Iran hints at Strait of Hormuz closure as US considers tanker seizures
Iran has hinted it could close the Strait of Hormuz while the US considers tanker seizures, pushing the US-Iran ceasefire...
Dutch PM announces European mission in Strait of Hormuz amid UK warship uncertainty
The Dutch prime minister announced a European-led mission in the Strait of Hormuz following a Paris meeting. The odds of...
Iran blocks two tankers in Strait of Hormuz amid US Navy escort speculation
Iran’s armed forces stopped two tankers from transiting the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday. The odds of US Navy escorts...
US deploys sea drones to counter mine threats in Strait of Hormuz
The U.S. military has deployed autonomous sea drones to address mine threats in the Strait of Hormuz. Odds for 80...
Iran keeps Strait of Hormuz closed, disrupting US diplomatic efforts
Iran’s decision to keep the Strait of Hormuz closed has disrupted diplomatic efforts, and the likelihood of Donald Trump announcing...
Strait of Hormuz traffic remains blocked as ceasefire expiration looms
The odds of Strait of Hormuz traffic normalization by April 30 sit at 21.5% YES, reflecting trader skepticism as the...
