Iran declares Strait of Hormuz open, boosting normalization bets
Iran announced the Strait of Hormuz is open, and the Strait of Hormuz Traffic Normalization market jumped to 50% YES...
Hormuz
Trump signals no imminent end to Hormuz blockade amid ongoing talks
Trump’s comments on Iran suggest no imminent end to the Hormuz blockade. Odds of lifting the blockade by May 31...
Iran keeps Strait of Hormuz open as Trump claims mine clearance, nuclear pause
Iran’s Foreign Minister Araghchi announced the Strait of Hormuz is “completely open,” but Trump followed with claims of mine clearance...
Iran reimposes control over Strait of Hormuz, fires on tanker
Tehran reimposed control over the Strait of Hormuz, with IRGC gunboats firing on a tanker. Strait of Hormuz traffic returning...
Iran Closes Strait of Hormuz Hours After Trump Said It Would ‘Never’ Close Again
Key Takeaways:Trump’s Truth Social post on April 17.Bitcoin Hits $78,348 as Strait of Hormuz Reopening Ignites Global Relief RallyBitcoin Hits...
Gunfire reported as two vessels attempt to cross Strait of Hormuz
Two vessels attempting to cross the Strait of Hormuz have reported gunfire incidents. The likelihood of the UK sending warships...
US Navy destroyers transit Strait of Hormuz amid Iranian threats
Two U.S. Navy destroyers transited the Strait of Hormuz on April 11 despite Iranian threats, but the Polymarket contract on...
Trump: Iran to halt uranium enrichment, reopen Strait of Hormuz
Trump claims Iran will stop enriching uranium and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The market for “Iran agrees to end...
Sanctioned tankers pass through Strait of Hormuz despite US blockade
Sanctioned tankers Crave and Gardian have passed through the Strait of Hormuz despite the US blockade. The market on Strait...
Trump announces Strait of Hormuz blockade, oil supply disruption expected
President Trump has announced a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, set to take effect later today, April 18, 2026....
Trump pledges US aid to Lebanon, opposes Iran tolls on Strait of Hormuz
Trump promised US aid to stabilize Lebanon and opposed Iranian tolls on the Strait of Hormuz. The Iran operations announcement...
Strait of Hormuz reopens, S&P 500 hits record highs, oil prices fall
The Strait of Hormuz has reopened, and the Polymarket S&P 500 up or down on April 14 contract sits at...
Meta to cut 8,000 jobs amid big tech cost-cutting efforts
Meta Platforms plans to cut 8,000 jobs, and Trump’s Strait of Hormuz announcement has shifted geopolitical expectations. Crude oil predictions...
Iran declares Strait of Hormuz open, oil prices fall over 10%
Iran’s announcement that the Strait of Hormuz is “completely open” has sent oil prices down over 10%, and prediction markets...
Iran ties Strait of Hormuz access to ceasefire terms
Iran is tying Strait of Hormuz access to ceasefire terms. The market for diplomatic meetings with Iran by April 30...
