US confirms ongoing military operations in Strait of Hormuz amid Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot The “US Invasion of Iran” market currently has no updated odds, while the “US Declaration of War...
Invasion
Iran attacks US Navy, UAE oil sites as Hormuz tensions escalate
## Market Snapshot The “US Invasion of Iran” market is seeing increased activity, with YES pricing suggesting heightened probabilities. The...
US destroyers cross Strait of Hormuz under Iranian fire, escalating tensions
## Market Snapshot The “US Invasion of Iran” market reflects a heightened likelihood of escalation, with pricing suggesting increased probabilities...
Iran attacks ships, UAE energy sites amid US naval operation in Hormuz
## Market Snapshot In the “US Invasion of Iran” market, pricing currently reflects a 33% YES likelihood. The “Trump’s Hormuz...
US denies Iranian strike on Navy, Trump rejects Iran’s 14-point plan
## Market Snapshot US Invasion of Iran market currently lacks specific odds data, while the US-Iran Nuclear Deal market shows...
Trump warns of military action against Iran amid heightened tensions
## Market Snapshot The market for a potential U.S. invasion of Iran before 2027 reflects heightened tensions, with indicators suggesting...
Medvedev warns of nuclear apocalypse amid Russia-NATO tensions
## Market Snapshot Russia-NATO invasion market: Priced at 2.4% YES, down from 3% a day ago. Russia-Ukraine ceasefire market: Active...
Trump warns of potential US strikes on Iran if they “misbehave”
## Market Snapshot The “US Invasion of Iran” market currently indicates increased likelihood of military action, with a shift in...
Trump announces US troop withdrawal from Germany amid Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot The “US Invasion of Iran” market is currently indicating 0% YES. The “US Declaration of War on...
Taiwan lawmaker proposes Bitcoin reserve amid China tensions
## Market Snapshot Markets related to a potential Chinese invasion of Taiwan by June 30, 2026, show a slight decrease...
Trump asserts Iran operations don’t need congressional approval amid tensions
## Market Snapshot The “US Invasion of Iran” market currently reflects heightened probabilities of military action, influenced by recent statements...
Trump briefed on military options as Iran conflict escalates
## Market Snapshot The “US Invasion of Iran” market is currently observing increased activity, with pricing supportive of a YES...
Trump discusses new Iran proposal with national security aides
Trump met with national security aides to discuss a new Iran proposal. The odds of a U.S. invasion of Iran...
Odds of US forces entering Iran by April 30 rise to 86% amid military tensions
Speculation about a potential ground invasion of Iran has pushed the odds of US forces entering the country by April...
Trump’s comments cool speculation on US ground invasion in Iran, market shifts to 86% YES
Trump’s recent comments have cooled speculation about a ground invasion in Iran. The market for US forces entering Iran by...
