US combat search and rescue team enters Iran, boosting military presence odds to 86%
A U.S. combat search and rescue team has entered Iran to recover a missing F-15E crew member, boosting the odds...
Iran
US combat search and rescue team confirmed inside Iran for F-15E recovery
A U.S. combat search and rescue team is confirmed inside Iran to recover a missing F-15E crew member. US forces...
Ceasefire odds drop to 1% as US forces clash with IRGC in Iran
Civilians and tribesmen are reportedly moving toward clashes between US forces and the IRGC in Iran. The odds of a...
Kalshi and Polymarket Iran Predictions: $200M+ Bet on Conflict Outcomes in 2026
Key Takeaways:Polymarket bet on April 4, 2026. Kalshi bet on April 4, 2026. Iran acquiring a nuclear weapon before 2027...
Iran eases transit restrictions for Iraq, but US-Iran ceasefire odds drop
Iran has eased restrictions for Iraq, allowing unrestricted transit through the Strait of Hormuz and reopening borders for trade and...
Iran reopens borders for trade and pilgrims, but ceasefire odds remain low: FT
Iran is allowing Iraq to transit the Strait of Hormuz and has reopened borders for trade and pilgrims. The US-Iran...
Iran warns of regional chaos for US if tensions escalate, ceasefire odds drop
Iran has issued a warning to the U.S., threatening regional chaos if tensions continue. The odds of a ceasefire by...
Ceasefire odds drop to 1% as protests erupt in Tel Aviv amid escalating tensions
Protests in Tel Aviv demand an end to the war with Iran, while missile strikes from Yemen and explosions in...
Ceasefire odds tumble as protests in Tel Aviv escalate tensions: FT
Protests in Tel Aviv against the Iran war and a Houthi missile launch towards Israel have sent US-Iran ceasefire odds...
Iran rejects temporary ceasefire, demands permanent war resolution guarantees
Iran has rejected a temporary ceasefire, demanding guarantees for a permanent end to the war. The odds of a ceasefire...
Iran rejects temporary ceasefire, demands permanent guarantees instead
Iran has rejected a temporary ceasefire proposal, demanding permanent guarantees instead. The odds for a ceasefire by April 7 are...
US issues 48-hour ultimatum to Iran as missile attacks escalate tensions
Iran and Lebanon launched missile attacks on Israel, leading the U.S. to issue a 48-hour ultimatum to Iran. The odds...
Iran and Lebanon missile attacks on Israel prompt US 48-hour deadline for deal
Iran and Lebanon launched missile attacks on Israel, leading the US to give Iran a 48-hour deadline for a deal....
Trump gives Iran 48 hours to negotiate deal as ceasefire odds plummet to 1%
President Trump has given Iran 48 hours to reach a deal, warning of severe consequences otherwise. The odds of a...
Trump issues 48-hour ultimatum to Iran amid dwindling ceasefire odds
President Trump has issued a 48-hour ultimatum to Iran, threatening severe consequences if no deal is reached. The odds of...
