Trump demands Iran reopen Strait of Hormuz by Tuesday deadline
Trump posted on Truth Social demanding Iran reopen the Strait of Hormuz by Tuesday 8 PM. The odds of Trump...
Iran
Trump discusses new Iran proposal with security aides, impacting diplomatic odds
Trump’s discussion of a new Iran proposal with national security aides has moved the odds of no qualifying US-Iran meeting...
Iran proposes reopening Strait of Hormuz to end US war
Iran has put forward a proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, tied to ending the war with the US,...
Iranian tankers bypass US blockade, reach India via coastal routes
Trump asserts a total blockade on Iran, yet Iranian tankers are circumventing it. The market for Trump lifting the blockade...
Iranian tankers bypass US blockade, reach India via coastal routes
Trump asserts a total blockade on Iran, yet Iranian tankers are circumventing it. The market for Trump lifting the blockade...
Iran proposes opening Strait of Hormuz without nuclear deal
Iran has proposed opening the Strait of Hormuz without a nuclear agreement, and the market on Trump announcing the US...
Iran continues oil loading at Kharg Island despite US blockade
Satellite data shows Iran loading oil at Kharg Island, maintaining control despite the US blockade. Kharg Island no longer under...
Iran war impacts circuit board supply, traders reassess oil positions
Crude oil all-time high by April 30 trades at 1% YES, down from 2% a week ago, as the Iran...
Iran reinstates currency subsidies amid economic turmoil
Iran has reinstated currency subsidies for essential goods, drawing from its sovereign fund to stabilize its economy during ongoing war....
China expands economic pressure on US amid Iran conflict
China is expanding economic pressure tactics against the US as the Iran conflict continues, and Polymarket odds on Trump visiting...
White House firm on Iran nuclear stance as deal odds plummet
Axios reports the White House insists Iran will never possess nuclear weapons. The odds of a US-Iran nuclear deal by...
US cancels envoy trips as Iran peace deal market plummets
The cancellation of US envoy trips to Iran has driven the April 30 peace deal market down to 2% YES,...
Iran says Strait of Hormuz will not return to previous state amid US distrust
Iran says the Strait of Hormuz will not return to its previous state, citing distrust with the US. The Polymarket...
Trump warns Iran of potential oil shut-ins within three days
Trump suggested Iran faces potential oil shut-ins within three days. Trump’s agreement to Iranian oil sanction relief in April is...
Trump hints at Iran peace talks, June 30 deal market splits YES
Trump’s recent comments about a potential end to the Iran conflict and willingness to negotiate by phone have moved prediction...
