Iran continues attacks despite ceasefire, UAE reports over 500 missile strikes
## Market Snapshot The market for “Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?” is currently priced at 2.6% YES, down...
Iranian
Iran, China discuss ceasefire and Hormuz reopening amid US tensions
## Market Snapshot The market for the fall of the Iranian regime by May 31 is currently priced at 2.6%...
Iran threatens European bases amid rising geopolitical tensions
## Market Snapshot Fall of the Iranian Regime market currently shows a 2.6% YES probability for May 31, indicating a...
Israel ready to resume military operations against Iran, awaits US approval
## Market Snapshot The “Fall of the Iranian Regime” market is currently priced at 3.1% YES, a slight increase from...
Iran reviews US peace proposal aiming to halt ongoing conflict
## Market Snapshot The market on the fall of the Iranian regime before 2027 shows a 2.8% YES probability, down...
US warns of sanctions for ships paying Iran tolls in Strait of Hormuz
## Market Snapshot The market concerning whether Trump will agree to Iranian demands is now less optimistic, with the current...
Iran proposes peace plan to end war, stabilize region within 30 days
## Market Snapshot In the “Fall of the Iranian Regime” market, the current price is 3.0% YES, unchanged from the...
Kuwait halts oil exports amid Hormuz blockade, first since Gulf War
## Market Snapshot The “Iranian Demands Trump Will Agree To” market suggests decreased likelihood for a YES outcome, with the...
Trump dismisses Iran proposal, signals continued diplomatic impasse
## Market Snapshot The market assessing whether the US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31 is currently priced at...
Iran’s internet blackout enters tenth week amid ongoing conflict
## Market Snapshot The Iranian regime fall market for June 30 is currently priced at 6.5% YES, down from 8%...
Iran-backed militias attack US-UK base in Iraq 28 times before ceasefire
## Market Snapshot Iran Military Action market is currently priced at 100% YES for an Iranian strike on Israel by...
Iran executes protest figures amid rising unrest and internet crackdown
## Market Snapshot Market: Iranian Regime Fall Current Pricing: 0.1% YES for April 30, 6.5% YES for June 30 Trend:...
Trump declares end of Iran conflict, uranium deal remains uncertain
## Market Snapshot US obtains Iranian enriched uranium market is priced at 8.5% YES for May 31, down from 10%...
Mojtaba Khamenei leads Iranian negotiations amid US-Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot The “fall of the Iranian regime” market shows 0.1% YES for April 30, down from 1% a...
US seizes nearly $500M in Iran linked crypto as Bessent says sanctions push regime into crisis
The US has seized nearly $500 million in Iranian crypto assets as part of a broader economic pressure campaign aimed...
