Iran’s regime faces instability amid weakened military and rising social unrest
Iran’s regime is experiencing instability as its military capabilities weaken and social unrest increases. The odds of the Iranian regime...
Iran’s
Iran strengthens position in US-Israeli conflict as military escalation looms
Iran’s strengthened position in the US-Israeli conflict has led to the rejection of US peace proposals. Ceasefire odds by April...
Iran leadership crisis as Khamenei reportedly unconscious, regime fall odds spike
Iran’s Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, is reportedly unconscious, raising concerns about leadership in Iran. The odds of the Iranian regime...
Khamenei unconscious in Qom raises concerns over Iran’s leadership stability
Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran’s Supreme Leader, is reportedly unconscious in Qom, raising concerns about leadership stability amid ongoing conflict. The market...
Mojtaba Khamenei unconscious, odds of Iran regime fall rise to 13.5% by June 30
Mojtaba Khamenei is reportedly unconscious in Qom, increasing speculation about Iran’s leadership during the ongoing conflict. The odds of the...
US-Iran ceasefire odds drop to 1.1% as military plans escalate tensions
The U.S. and Israel’s joint plans to target Iran’s nuclear facilities have slashed the odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by...
US and Israeli officials seek to weaken Iran’s enrichment amid ceasefire uncertainty
U.S. and Israeli officials aim to weaken Iran’s uranium enrichment before ending hostilities. The odds of a ceasefire by April...
US and Israeli officials seek to weaken Iran’s nuclear program amid ceasefire talks
U.S. and Israeli officials aim to weaken Iran’s nuclear capabilities before ending military actions. The odds of a ceasefire by...
Odds of US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 drop to 1.1% amid ongoing military actions
Iran’s threat of retaliation and ongoing strikes on Gulf infrastructure have slashed the odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by April...
Trump claims Iran’s leadership is more moderate, but traders remain skeptical: FT
Trump asserts Iran’s leadership has become more moderate following a regime change. The market for the Iranian regime falling by...
Iran’s 45-day ceasefire push makes April 7 unlikely, traders see prolonged conflict
Iran’s push for a 45-day ceasefire signals a tougher stance, making a ceasefire by April 7 unlikely. The market for...
Iran’s yuan oil trade complicates US-Iran ceasefire efforts, market confidence drops
Iran’s insistence on yuan-denominated oil trade through the Strait of Hormuz complicates US-Iran ceasefire efforts. Ceasefire by April 7 sits...
Ceasefire odds plummet as Trump threatens Iran, traders eye May for movement
Trump’s threat of strikes on Iran and Iran’s warning of retaliation have plummeted ceasefire odds. The April 7 ceasefire market...
Trump threatens to destroy Iran’s infrastructure as ceasefire odds plummet
Trump has threatened to destroy Iran’s infrastructure unless the Strait of Hormuz is reopened. The odds for a ceasefire by...
Viral song boosts odds of Iranian regime collapse to 13.5% by June 30
A satirical song by a London-based Iranian artist celebrating the death of Iran’s Supreme Leader has gone viral. Odds for...
